Spread: Towson Tigers (-9.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8ceaf3f47d9b1cf6b7bdc059e5d0556bab25201ecd033ad5b5366a9ded001b8

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Towson Tigersof Towson Tigers, Sacred Heart Pioneers
Resolved: Dec 22, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,554
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,710

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,554 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Towson Tigers	74c	454$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.46	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Sacred Heart Pioneers	15c	292$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.8	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers	45c	200.1$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.04	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Sacred Heart Pioneers	44c	180$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.2	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Towson Tigers	58c	171.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.19	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers	44c	160$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.08	75	53.3%40 W · 35 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Sacred Heart Pioneers	45c	155$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.75	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Sacred Heart Pioneers	43c	151$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.54	71	46.5%33 W · 38 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Sacred Heart Pioneers	44c	147$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.68	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Sacred Heart Pioneers	45c	139$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.55	87	56.3%49 W · 38 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers	46c	128$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.88	70	60%42 W · 28 L	+6.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers	44c	119$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.36	69	55.1%38 W · 31 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Towson Tigers	56c	111$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.22	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers	44c	105$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-5.1wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Sacred Heart Pioneers	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	254	38.2%97 W · 157 L	-14.3wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Sacred Heart Pioneers	44c	97$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.68	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Sacred Heart Pioneers	45c	93$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.85	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc368…0b4ebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers	44c	59$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.96	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Sacred Heart Pioneers	44c	58$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.52	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e66…921dbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers	44c	55$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe91…4462backed Towson Tigers	55c	52$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.4	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd84f…0475backed Towson Tigers	55c	47$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.15	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfacf…e97abacked Towson Tigers	54c	46$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.16	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+4.1wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e78…fcb4backed Towson Tigers	55c	43$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.35	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbba…e95bbacked Towson Tigers	58c	42$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.64	39	69.2%27 W · 12 L	+6.2wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2348…9d10backed Towson Tigers	55c	42$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.9	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Sacred Heart Pioneers	44c	42$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.48	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Sacred Heart Pioneers	44c	39$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.16	93	55.9%52 W · 41 L	+5.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9db…ab38backed Towson Tigers	55c	38$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.1	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Towson Tigers	56c	38$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.72	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38a6…bbd5backed Towson Tigers	55c	37$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.65	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Towson Tigers	55c	36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.2	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a9…f72ebacked Towson Tigers	55c	34$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed Towson Tigers	54c	34$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.64	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Towson Tigers	56c	33$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.52	38	68.4%26 W · 12 L	+5.9wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xba0f…7ca5backed Towson Tigers	57c	31$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.29	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd854…924fbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers	44c	31$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.64	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sacred Heart Pioneers	41c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	1,985	64.1%1,273 W · 712 L	+144.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe13a…6bb5backed Towson Tigers	56c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed Towson Tigers	56c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Towson Tigers	56c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed Towson Tigers	56c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd411…e342backed Towson Tigers	56c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+4.4wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb59a…e730backed Towson Tigers	56c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Towson Tigers	56c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Towson Tigers	56c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60c…b395backed Towson Tigers	56c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Towson Tigers	56c	29$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.76	47	59.6%28 W · 19 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Sacred Heart Pioneers	45c	29$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.05	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Towson Tigers	55c	28$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	+4.7wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed Towson Tigers	54c	28$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.88	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+18%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f25…1e6ebacked Towson Tigers	56c	28$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.32	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x684b…47edbacked Towson Tigers	57c	28$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.16	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34b2…cec2backed Towson Tigers	56c	28$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.32	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3517…9f8dbacked Towson Tigers	56c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+6.0wins	+0.22per pick	52cpaid	+44.3%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Towson Tigers	53c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.75	459	53.8%247 W · 212 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaad7…5557backed Sacred Heart Pioneers	45c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	115	36.5%42 W · 73 L	-6.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15b7…7fd0backed Towson Tigers	56c	24$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.56	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf06a…cfdabacked Towson Tigers	55c	24$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.78	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b1…042fbacked Towson Tigers	56c	24$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.56	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa029…c912backed Towson Tigers	56c	24$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.56	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed Towson Tigers	56c	24$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.56	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…1ed1backed Towson Tigers	56c	22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.68	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc157…bd5cbacked Towson Tigers	56c	22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.68	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	49cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cfd…9f5abacked Towson Tigers	56c	21$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.24	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed Towson Tigers	56c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…c6ecbacked Towson Tigers	56c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.88	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe829…a4aabacked Towson Tigers	56c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2999…50bcbacked Towson Tigers	56c	19$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.36	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x879d…8c58backed Towson Tigers	56c	19$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.36	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6098…d746backed Towson Tigers	56c	19$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.36	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1670…d6a2backed Towson Tigers	56c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.92	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ee…5d12backed Towson Tigers	56c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.92	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6014…5a58backed Towson Tigers	56c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.92	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed Towson Tigers	56c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.92	33	63.6%21 W · 12 L	+3.1wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Towson Tigers (-9.5)this page
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Towson TigersTowson Tigers won
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 142.5Under won
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 144.5Under won
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 145.5Under won
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 147.5Under won
Spread: Towson Tigers (-10.5)Towson Tigers won
Spread: Towson Tigers (-11.5)Towson Tigers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Towson Tigers (-9.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event