TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

1H Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Seahawksof Seahawks, 49ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,488
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,488 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Seahawks44c492.69$218 inWon+$27575852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked 49ers56c357.14$200 inLost-$20013652.2%71 W · 65 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed 49ers53c213$113 inLost-$113.342250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed 49ers53c93$49 inLost-$49.291330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed 49ers53c91$48 inLost-$48.231861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked 49ers55c90.91$50 inLost-$5019954.8%109 W · 90 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed 49ers53c87$46 inLost-$46.111442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked 49ers52c73$38 inLost-$37.961729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked 49ers54c71$38 inLost-$38.341442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked 49ers54c64$34 inLost-$34.311931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x87c8…2cb0backed Seahawks47c45$21 inWon+$23.851080%8 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+52.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b56…7ababacked 49ers56c44.64$25 inLost-$254060%24 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d7f…9485backed Seahawks53c40$21 inWon+$18.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+116.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed 49ers53c35$19 inLost-$18.551457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb780…e7a2backed Seahawks47c30$14 inWon+$15.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2342…d7cebacked Seahawks47c28$13 inWon+$14.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f96…92e0backed Seahawks46c28$13 inWon+$15.12683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+59.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Seahawks48c28$13 inWon+$14.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9b…0bc0backed Seahawks47c27$13 inWon+$14.311283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+57%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc727…adc2backed Seahawks47c25$12 inWon+$13.251154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa305…73c9backed Seahawks46c25$12 inWon+$13.51154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e1a…60e5backed Seahawks47c24$11 inWon+$12.72875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1670…d6a2backed Seahawks48c23$11 inWon+$11.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Seahawks47c23$11 inWon+$12.191154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c0…4523backed Seahawks46c23$11 inWon+$12.42650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed Seahawks48c22$11 inWon+$11.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+49.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaac…1045backed Seahawks47c22$10 inWon+$11.661464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.