NFL · resolved market
49ers vs. Seahawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0328fd8fc790c29ec43d59eebd58067431a901a92451c001b9b55f4377779da3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof 49ers, Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,511,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,228,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,511,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,771 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed 49ers | 27c | 1,260,039$336,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336,962.87 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked 49ers | 28c | 1,025,968$287,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287,118.94 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed 49ers | 27c | 881,811$235,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235,862.44 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Seahawks | 75c | 810,833$608,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202,721.45 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Seahawks | 72c | 754,285$543,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211,199.89 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked 49ers | 20c | 484,056$94,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,452.42 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Seahawks | 74c | 440,623$326,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,876.91 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Seahawks | 77c | 398,596$306,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,511.61 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked 49ers | 27c | 382,275$104,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,409.84 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Seahawks | 72c | 333,133$240,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,093.39 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Seahawks | 72c | 299,997$215,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,999.14 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked 49ers | 26c | 205,815$53,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,453.13 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Seahawks | 73c | 200,000$145,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,499.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…e675backed 49ers | 12c | 195,195$22,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,947.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed 49ers | 13c | 184,656$23,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,767.73 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Seahawks | 73c | 183,965$134,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,717.22 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbadf…f617backed 49ers | 2c | 179,431$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 12cpaid | +336.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked 49ers | 28c | 157,317$44,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,704.28 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Seahawks | 72c | 154,000$111,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,799.99 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Seahawks | 73c | 136,945$99,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,975.17 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed 49ers | 22c | 123,120$27,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,159.28 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Seahawks | 73c | 117,742$86,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,218.02 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…aa08backed 49ers | 10c | 115,443$11,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,044.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Seahawks | 73c | 110,000$80,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,299.98 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04a…2851backed 49ers | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…e0efbacked Seahawks | 71c | 90,200$64,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,149.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Seahawks | 72c | 90,000$64,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,199.94 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed 49ers | 25c | 75,368$18,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,841.88 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed 49ers | 12c | 74,782$8,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,933.64 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0886backed 49ers | 2c | 74,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked 49ers | 3c | 68,487$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.57 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…2b5bbacked 49ers | 27c | 65,092$17,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,500 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 49ers | 27c | 63,763$17,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,215.98 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Seahawks | 72c | 60,093$43,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,968.21 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Seahawks | 74c | 60,000$44,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,799.99 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Seahawks | 74c | 54,517$40,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,326.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed 49ers | 28c | 53,354$14,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,917.96 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed 49ers | 27c | 51,790$13,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,872.12 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Seahawks | 76c | 50,000$38,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.99 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd81…9640backed 49ers | 10c | 49,237$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,003.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Seahawks | 72c | 46,609$33,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,050.64 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…fafebacked 49ers | 0c | 45,970$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Seahawks | 72c | 42,485$30,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,869.25 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed 49ers | 28c | 40,531$11,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,343.72 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe796…7f5ebacked 49ers | 15c | 40,006$5,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,981.01 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Seahawks | 73c | 40,000$29,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b29…9108backed 49ers | 15c | 39,038$5,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,768.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Seahawks | 72c | 36,056$25,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,095.75 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked 49ers | 28c | 35,774$10,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,004.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Seahawks | 74c | 35,000$25,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Seahawks | 71c | 34,500$24,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,004.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked 49ers | 25c | 34,169$8,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,656.61 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Seahawks | 80c | 32,577$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,576.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x780b…8875backed 49ers | 17c | 31,841$5,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,315.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…614cbacked 49ers | 1c | 30,335$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.13 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked 49ers | 26c | 30,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed 49ers | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…0554backed Seahawks | 74c | 30,000$22,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.98 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…37cdbacked 49ers | 15c | 29,691$4,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,484.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed 49ers | 25c | 28,969$7,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,163.52 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked 49ers | 15c | 27,020$4,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,095 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Seahawks | 73c | 26,697$19,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,208.14 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff4…7ebbbacked 49ers | 6c | 25,556$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Seahawks | 73c | 25,347$18,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,737.22 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Seahawks | 75c | 25,000$18,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,272.73 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8da…f944backed 49ers | 24c | 24,999$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.76 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Seahawks | 73c | 23,834$17,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,377.03 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Seahawks | 73c | 21,490$15,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,841.63 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Seahawks | 72c | 20,857$15,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,808.1 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Seahawks | 72c | 20,825$14,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,831 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…faebbacked 49ers | 14c | 20,249$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.54 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked 49ers | 26c | 20,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Seahawks | 73c | 20,000$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked 49ers | 1c | 18,746$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed 49ers | 27c | 18,519$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…4b9dbacked 49ers | 27c | 18,473$4,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,987.6 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked 49ers | 1c | 18,220$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.35 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Seahawks | 74c | 18,098$13,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,630.2 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed 49ers | 28c | 18,095$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.84 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed 49ers | 25c | 18,078$4,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,565.81 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed 49ers | 28c | 18,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0eb…b103backed 49ers | 29c | 17,468$5,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,112.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…c933backed 49ers | 29c | 17,000$4,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,930 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Seahawks | 75c | 16,999$12,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.84 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…efd2backed 49ers | 13c | 16,323$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.6 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Seahawks | 73c | 16,318$11,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,405.83 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed 49ers | 0c | 15,936$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Seahawks | 74c | 15,555$11,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.3 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Seahawks | 78c | 15,524$12,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,418.64 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…e4e3backed 49ers | 11c | 15,035$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Seahawks | 74c | 15,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked 49ers | 27c | 13,786$3,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,686.3 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Seahawks | 71c | 13,145$9,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,812.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Seahawks | 74c | 13,000$9,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,439.99 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed 49ers | 27c | 12,559$3,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,403.06 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Seahawks | 74c | 12,500$9,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Seahawks | 74c | 12,320$9,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,203.17 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Seahawks | 74c | 12,096$8,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155.88 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed 49ers | 17c | 11,918$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…4e86backed 49ers | 1c | 11,895$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 49ers vs. Seahawksthis page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)Seahawks won
- 49ers vs. Seahawks: 1H MoneylineSeahawks won
- 49ers vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 22.5Over won
- 49ers vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- 49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5Over won
- 49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5Over won
- AJ Barner: Receiving Yards O/U 30.5Under won
- Christian McCaffrey: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Christian McCaffrey: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 110.5Under won
- Jake Tonges: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Jauan Jennings: Receiving Yards O/U 42.5Under won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Receiving Yards O/U 93.5Under won
- Kenneth Walker III: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Rashid Shaheed: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Rashid Shaheed: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Rashid Shaheed: Receiving Yards O/U 23.5Under won
- Sam Darnold: Rushing Yards O/U 247.5Under won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 22.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 28.5Over won
- Spread: 49ers (-1.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)Seahawks won
- Zach Charbonnet: Anytime TouchdownNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.