TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc29e…a2ca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29,148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29,148.24
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$398,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$398,840.15
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150,467Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150,466.78
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27,626Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27,626.02
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$165,003Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$105,493.9
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100,352Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$65,519.35
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25,979Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,979.27
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$61,784Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$61,783.91
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31,424Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$31,424
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$392,691Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$640,705.66
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99,279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$99,279.04
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$4,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$7,440
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12,853Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,852.96
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24,433Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19,990.9
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15,949Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,948.84
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19,651Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21,289.03
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,250
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$3,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,069.27
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33,630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33,630
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14,383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,383.04
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,000
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$198,074Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$72,334.3
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$198,463Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77,180.16
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$195,166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$58,296.36
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$199,187Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$62,901.16
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT3339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19,416Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17,922.67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17,985Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,984.62
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$948Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$948
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.88
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$765
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$757Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$548.49
Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$32.19
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12,001Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6,750.41
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$598.5
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$316
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.6
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$9,736Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,735.55
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$47,381Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$24,408.31
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$5,700.04
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,640
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$110.22
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$719.99
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,839Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$4,057.35
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,139.78
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$199,960Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+59%+$118,044.15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43,890Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$33,109.99
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24,749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,749.46
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23,642Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,642.02
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,903Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$3,407.63
Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$415.65
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,380Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,793.23
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+163.9%+$163.85
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$149,970Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$61,255.85
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,000.32
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11,390Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5,610.12
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$2,450.06
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20,492Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14,839.15
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,886Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100%+$9,886.09
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,849.98
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,209Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$4,619.34
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$2,498.75
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$9,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$9,879.99
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$4,044.79
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+73.6%+$2,209.01
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$8,334Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.1%+$5,260.84
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,244Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$2,193.75
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,848Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$3,847.8
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$1,350
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16,923Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16,922.67
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$5,154.43
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$4,566.65
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100,637Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$45,213.68
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$151,346Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$118,914.77
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99,988Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51,509.18
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100,017Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49,269.18
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36,845Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$36,845.08
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99,970Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+37%+$36,975.17
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100,148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+67.9%+$67,990.19
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$4,247.14
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$226.65
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$4,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$4,800
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,999.99
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19,992Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38,807.96
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$9,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$9,996
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,921Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$6,920.89
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,568Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+51.5%+$2,353.1
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99,423Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+105.2%+$104,597.79
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$2,998.5
Spread: 49ers (-5.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,153Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+112.8%+$2,427.94
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+177.8%+$3,829.65
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49,986Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33,324
All 21 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-52.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29,338Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12,573.23
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,696.19
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,020
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Rob Font · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,120
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$925
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brunno Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,025
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Xiao Long · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$945
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$76,923Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$76,922.93
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+233.3%+$23,333.09
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20,092Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20,091.96
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$585.03
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$3,280
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39,988Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39,987.9
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10,256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,256.38
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$4,080
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+354.5%+$3,900
Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,250
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31,137Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$38,056.16
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$57,181Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$25,690.13
The Ring - High Stakes: Ryan Garcia vs. Mario Barriosbacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32,332Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+49.3%+$15,924.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$11,276.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$4,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,186.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.