TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$395,943
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$441,046

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $395,943 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 578 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc29e…a2cabacked No57c59,000$33,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,6303441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed Yes43c35,000$15,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,9509525.3%24 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes44c30,885$13,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,360.41,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed No56c25,000$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,000.19131.9%29 W · 62 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes44c23,800$10,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,428.157140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed Yes43c19,546$8,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,141.399161.5%56 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes44c18,000$7,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,08046464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No56c17,500$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.8274447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed No56c16,813$9,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,433.4724058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Yes43c13,910$5,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,928.5319252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Yes44c13,636$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,636.369219.6%18 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed No57c12,002$6,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,841.1417642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No56c11,944$6,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,688.8953448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x364d…9f8fbacked No69c10,956$7,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,515.512166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No56c9,611$5,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,422.2113163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No56c9,000$5,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,039.9329646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Yes43c7,777$3,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,432.875240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8504…88dcbacked Yes44c7,212$3,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,039.582462.5%15 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+39.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked No56c6,571$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,679.581540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No56c6,257$3,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,504.0674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No56c6,080$3,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,404.9425038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb56d…d621backed Yes43c5,814$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,313.953966.7%26 W · 13 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed No57c5,300$3,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0218435.7%30 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f16…780cbacked No1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50407.5%3 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked No56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.8511343.4%49 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No60c4,785$2,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,851.527126.8%19 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No56c4,500$2,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,523.5114325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No46c4,290$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.24,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d4…2983backed Yes44c4,273$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,392.898640.7%35 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No21c4,019$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.022,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6c27…f2aabacked No57c3,936$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,243.6714637.7%55 W · 91 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No56c3,894$2,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.6636250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Yes43c3,488$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.3721442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Yes30c3,269$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288.5610537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No16c3,137$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.3785550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb944…15a3backed Yes36c3,000$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.963369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes43c2,791$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.79823.5%23 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No56c2,790$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.262,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes43c2,400$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.2935229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked No57c2,324$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.7716050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x238c…57b1backed Yes44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.735356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Yes44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.7317636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x013e…65ddbacked Yes44c2,226$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.691442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+48%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a52…1a8ebacked No35c2,134$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.25038%19 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Yes44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12022229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43bb…26dbbacked Yes44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1204759.6%28 W · 19 L+10.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+70.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes39c1,939$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.4436123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No56c1,856$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.5429250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Yes47c1,835$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97717944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed No57c1,805$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.5319125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Yes43c1,785$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.5417625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes43c1,688$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.881,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Yes38c1,676$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.2211828%33 W · 85 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked Yes78c1,500$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.614936.7%18 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.9923240.5%94 W · 138 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe23b…7c42backed No69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005860.3%35 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No35c1,447$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.462,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3820…2112backed Yes42c1,404$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.311735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de4…a68fbacked Yes72c1,400$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.146848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc67c…5047backed Yes44c1,398$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.7312529.6%37 W · 88 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…0c75backed Yes48c1,394$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.5216042.5%68 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes43c1,349$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.018,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x552d…6331backed No57c1,344$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.674067.5%27 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes34c1,279$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.6613933.8%47 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No53c1,275$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.4634357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes39c1,250$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.511247.3%53 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes34c1,242$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.611,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…f868backed Yes44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.365662.5%35 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes41c1,121$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.8663544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed No59c1,091$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.997745.5%35 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed No59c1,036$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.2217241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f3…85cabacked Yes44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602532%8 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked No58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58025445.3%115 W · 139 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae4…273ebacked Yes43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5709354.8%51 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked No56c999.99$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.998148.1%39 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes43c930.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.234238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Yes44c909.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.0910234.3%35 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed No56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0627…f26dbacked Yes45c888.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.897532%24 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No56c888$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.2811444.7%51 W · 63 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No67c878.3$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.139951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed No57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa850…f1babacked No57c876.68$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.711136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes36c868.05$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.5924616.3%40 W · 206 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…ba32backed Yes42c798.88$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.561485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.8wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+88.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1c12…6092backed No57c778.93$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes42c776.98$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.6537754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed No57c765.23$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.18944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed No57c750.88$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.9wins-0.43per pick54cpaid-79.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No10c725.78$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5819825.3%50 W · 148 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f1…b052backed No58c689.66$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015930.2%48 W · 111 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Yes42c641.73$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.7327637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17a1…3835backed Yes44c627.2$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+53%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…09b5backed Yes43c611.88$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3554…d825backed Yes33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.06358.6%3 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-75.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked No57c600$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.278348.2%40 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc9d…930fbacked Yes44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.1818037.2%67 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa678…bc50backed Yes44c562.5$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3156749.3%33 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44e8…d01cbacked Yes44c558.7$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.871776.5%13 W · 4 L+5.3wins+0.31per pick45cpaid+68.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.