TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3c5b…0584

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
295
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT3647.2%17 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.81
Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$775.77
Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Sporting CP vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$8,668Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$3,611.15
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,913Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$2,020.12
Will FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$431.71
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$255.56
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$425
Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+376.2%+$752.38
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$359
Will CD Nacional win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$150
CD Nacional vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+284.6%+$284.62
Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+100.1%+$500.28
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will CD Tondela win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$52
CD Tondela vs. FC Alverca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$250
CD Tondela vs. FC Alverca: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+156.6%+$610.18
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$293.65
Will CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$157.01
CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Caio Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$941.18
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raul Rosas Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+38.9%+$777.78
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$795
Will the announcers say "Sequence" or "Combination" 3+ times during Strickland vs. Hernandez?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$599.9
Will the announcers say "Octagon" during Strickland vs. Hernandez?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the announcers say "Hernandez" or "Strickland" 18+ times during Strickland vs. Hernandez?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$550
Will the announcers say "Takedown" or "Take down" 3+ times during Strickland vs. Hernandez?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$350
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$1,347.83
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Delija · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
UFC Fight Night: Josiah Harrell vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jacobe Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$1,054.05
UFC Fight Night: Chidi Njokuani vs. Carlos Leal (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Njokuani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$785.71
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$960
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Amir Albazi (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$947.37
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,227Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+94.9%+$4,012.6
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,147
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$351.35
UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Elekana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.9%+$642.86
UFC 325: Brundage vs. Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Rowston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.4%+$314.17
UFC 325: Yizha vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Yizha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
UFC 325: Lawrence Lui vs. Sulangrangbo (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)backed Lui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+244.8%+$2,448.28
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$515.15
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+44.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+205.1%+$1,025.32
Will Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$183.87
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+354.5%+$1,063.64
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$266.04
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$300
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$733.33
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$584.61
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+44.9%+$224.64
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+52.1%+$312.87
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+132.6%+$662.79
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,065.24
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+614.3%+$614.29
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+426.3%+$426.32
Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.93
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST2339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$86.98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$225
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,019.78
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,620Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+85.2%+$1,380
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+614.3%+$1,842.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$388.89
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+84.2%+$842.2
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+106.2%+$424.83
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,043Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+180.9%+$1,886.53
Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+100%+$207.47
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$1,178.57
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+177.8%+$88.89
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
BNP Paribas Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$250
BNP Paribas Open: Zizou Bergs vs Tommy Paulbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
BNP Paribas Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
BNP Paribas Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$4,199.98
Djokovic vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$1,037
Pegula vs. Rybakina: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+69.5%+$347.46
Sabalenka vs. Svitolina: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+51.7%+$258.34
Sabalenka vs. Svitolina: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Australian Open Men's: Luciano Darderi vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Darderi vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Darderi vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Bublik vs. Minaur: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$420
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bublik vs. Minaur: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,035
Medvedev vs. Tien: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$420
Shelton vs. Vacherot: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,047Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+127.9%+$1,339.07
Musetti vs. Machac: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+54.4%+$543.61
Set 1 Winner: Musetti vs Machacbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,103.53
Alcaraz vs. Moutet: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+112.8%+$530
Bublik vs. Fucsovics: Match O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.05
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST2138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+455.6%+$455.56
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$900
76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$433.33
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+104.1%+$520.41
Hawks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,011
Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+64%+$319.91
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+81.8%+$818.18
Heat vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 121.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$570
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$675
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$1,150
Magic vs. Heat: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$754.39
Kings vs. Knicksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$88.71
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+81.6%+$1,223.33
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+333.3%+$169.96
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 21 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-78.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 46% and 48%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,100.6
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,724Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$3,723.64
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 56%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$225
Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$134.42
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 54% and 56%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$42.97
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$610
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$3,259.87
Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$2,600
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60,049Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+32.4%+$19,443.66
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.53
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win less than 10% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,897Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$3,896.59
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$98.25
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 45%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$192.6
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,516Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.7%+$783.99
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13.07
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+69.5%+$410
All 21 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+46.7%+$186.67
SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$282
SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$188.01
SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$563.19
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$252.05
CA Paranaense vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+222.6%+$100
Fluminense FC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$470
CA Mineiro vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$410
Mirassol FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+44.9%+$310
Botafogo FR vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$134
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+122.2%+$385
São Paulo FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,064Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.1%+$735.34
São Paulo FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Fluminense FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.7%+$393.59
CA Mineiro vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$579Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$419.58
All 17 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+46.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,840Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+133.3%+$7,783.26
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+566.7%+$1,700
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+143.9%+$719.51
Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+117.4%+$586.96
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$123
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$127
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+92.3%+$461.54
FC Porto vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+135.5%+$812.82
FC Porto vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$500
FC Porto vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-77.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,860Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,139.99
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,187
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15,799.99
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$78.79
US forces enter Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,122.98
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$451.22
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$180.19
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$319.78
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$42.4
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$425.1
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,853Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$4,537.07
Will Levante UD win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$916Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$812.3
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+733.3%+$1,100
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$654Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+95.6%+$625.15
Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)backed Girona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$327.27
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$472.94
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$530
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick9cpaid+100.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will the DHS shutdown last 10 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the DHS shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+1,905.9%+$654.31
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$946Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$945.75
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,540
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$7,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$7,080
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$673Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$673
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-57.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$807.72
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$621.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$956Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$956
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.