Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78faaf8433635168c47da00bdf4b2038abb44fa9cc1d40bae39cef9575350da9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $744,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $995,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $744,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94f0…cd31backed Yes | 71c | 168,700$119,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,923 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 29c | 120,000$35,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,399.99 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe423…bff2backed Yes | 70c | 115,702$80,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,728.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 31c | 52,643$16,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,119.18 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 69c | 40,000$27,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 33c | 33,721$11,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,158.96 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 30c | 21,095$6,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,282.86 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 29c | 20,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 23c | 19,269$4,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,413.12 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 30c | 12,518$3,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,707.23 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 71c | 9,073$6,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.17 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 15c | 9,018$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.32 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 31c | 6,838$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.91 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 64c | 5,813$3,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 30c | 5,500$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.98 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked No | 29c | 5,172$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.95 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 29c | 4,285$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.65 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 33c | 3,912$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 30c | 3,692$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 3,056$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.53 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 31c | 2,917$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 31c | 2,512$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.61 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd22…e478backed Yes | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 60c | 2,300$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.05 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 30c | 2,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed No | 29c | 1,750$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e9…e484backed Yes | 71c | 1,738$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 60c | 1,672$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 29c | 1,638$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.93 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked No | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +85%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd8…e1fbbacked Yes | 69c | 1,446$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 30c | 1,410$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1353…c7fdbacked Yes | 59c | 1,117$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 60c | 1,110$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Yes | 70c | 1,064$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed No | 34c | 1,056$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 59c | 1,046$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.77 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 12c | 1,005$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 6c | 999.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 30c | 997.16$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.45 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 22c | 955.83$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 69c | 889.49$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.29 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 71c | 775.03$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.03 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 71c | 772.02$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.96 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 68c | 730$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.7 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3deb…c6b6backed Yes | 65c | 700$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 68c | 679$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.28 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed Yes | 70c | 631.9$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 35c | 574.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 59c | 567.8$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.8 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…86abbacked Yes | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 71c | 562.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.24 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…aa8dbacked Yes | 57c | 525.39$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 29c | 499.97$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 64c | 468$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…6c81backed Yes | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 68c | 444.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.44 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 70c | 444.28$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.28 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Yes | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 70c | 430$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Yes | 70c | 428.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 32c | 423$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.36 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 30c | 415.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 76c | 412.58$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Yes | 59c | 400.75$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked No | 31c | 400$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Yes | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Yes | 69c | 386.96$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.96 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c11…b0e6backed Yes | 58c | 386.09$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.33 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 71c | 366.2$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 29c | 360.34$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Yes | 70c | 357$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 29c | 352.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 61c | 327.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked No | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 69c | 320$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 30c | 300$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 70c | 300$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed No | 41c | 297.68$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…b193backed Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d1…21c7backed Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Yes | 71c | 282.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 32c | 256.68$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 70c | 241.07$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 73c | 230$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed No | 31c | 229.33$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 75c | 227.34$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked No | 41c | 225.79$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0c…e795backed Yes | 60c | 224.16$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Yes | 60c | 223.33$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 21c | 220.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Yes | 55c | 218.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a7…90f4backed Yes | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will CD Nacional vs. FC Porto end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Nacional win on 2026-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.