TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc6d1…21c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+797.4%+$622
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$73.49
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.19
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+139.2%+$67.17
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.11
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$81.4
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+151.3%+$43.75
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.38
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$144.6
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.72
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.44
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.66
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.75
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.68
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$178.75
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.2
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.93
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.6
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.8
Will Serbia win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$115.14
Mexico vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Senegal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$126.85
Senegal vs. Peru: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Morocco win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
England vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Norway win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Netherlands vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$54.31
Switzerland vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$72.47
Will Egypt win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+163.7%+$172.71
Will Austria win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will Croatia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+250.5%+$135.29
Will Colombia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+129.4%+$110.01
Brazil vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Brazil vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$94.6
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+122.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 10–20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45.93
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$161.5
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$54.35
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 0–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+192.8%+$621.45
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$245.3
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+2,078.6%+$727.5
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50.54
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$559.84
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$226.06
Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$102.73
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$55.43
Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$364
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$603.28
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$37
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+62.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+134.3%+$57.24
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$31.15
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.12
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+376.2%+$59.25
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$18.26
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Will Russia capture any territory in Lyman by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+244.8%+$71
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-78.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+163.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$202.5
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$288
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+270.4%+$73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$72.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$66.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+38.9%+$16.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lane Kiffin out as Ole Miss head coach by January 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.