Champions League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e440e0a8fdfabc9b94ba0f9b956f92fbfd2ccf0c3e4a8f2e5da13280fcd2250
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 45c | 2,212$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.82 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 56c | 808.63$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.75 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 705.94$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.41 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked Over | 43c | 677.67$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.98 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 43c | 670.71$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 56c | 634.99$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.39 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 54c | 552.35$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.27 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Over | 42c | 459.62$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.58 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Over | 45c | 338.49$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 58c | 240.2$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.32 | 489 | 47.6%233 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 55c | 225.85$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.22 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 58c | 223$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.18 | 402 | 50.7%204 W · 198 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 58c | 219.92$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.46 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 55c | 180.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4529…d10abacked Under | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 68c | 157.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d1…21c7backed Over | 42c | 115.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 33c | 109$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 209 | 16.7%35 W · 174 L | -36.8wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed Under | 57c | 107$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Under | 56c | 102$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 56c | 71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Over | 44c | 70.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Over | 39c | 65.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Over | 45c | 64.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5514…a9c1backed Over | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 40c | 50.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…6eafbacked Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dce…dcc3backed Over | 41c | 46.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…5103backed Over | 42c | 46.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 59c | 42.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Over | 42c | 34.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…16e5backed Under | 59c | 32.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…7a96backed Over | 43c | 29.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a2…316dbacked Over | 44c | 26.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…25bfbacked Over | 42c | 24.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Over | 44c | 23.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.