TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2a0d…25bf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT5149%25 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$48.66
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$20.15
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+61.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+300%+$45
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$44.28
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+192%+$76.81
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.43
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.19
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on April 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$13.73
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or below on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.78
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+126.2%+$26.34
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$21.64
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$8.45
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Istanbul: Storm Hunter vs Guiomar Maristanybacked Guiomar Maristany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$10.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.