Premier League · resolved market
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84f440c9df2f492acea10532cc2ecfcfccb7eb3ed38682a1f37a078f782e4325
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $294,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 35,241$18,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,983.17 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 36c | 33,971$12,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,372.26 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e9…1644backed Yes | 40c | 23,000$9,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,800.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 60c | 20,513$12,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,308.14 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 70c | 13,628$9,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,024.83 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 42c | 11,910$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.18 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 27c | 7,099$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.13 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed No | 66c | 5,992$3,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,954.55 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 55c | 5,693$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.34 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2c…e8e8backed No | 30c | 5,499$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.19 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 5,264$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,895.05 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 27c | 5,078$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.76 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 74c | 4,300$3,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,181.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 73c | 4,174$3,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,046.91 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 72c | 3,929$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.64 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 3,553$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.48 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 47c | 3,261$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.06 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 73c | 3,016$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.3 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 73c | 2,884$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.04 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 69c | 2,048$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked No | 74c | 1,544$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.56 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 75c | 1,520$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafe…2e34backed Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 27c | 1,501$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.93 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.99 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 73c | 1,050$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.5 | 141 | 62.4%88 W · 53 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 74c | 1,006$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.37 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Yes | 50c | 1,004$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.04 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.99 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Yes | 27c | 991$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 62c | 947.04$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.91 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 58c | 863$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.54 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…66b3backed No | 74c | 789.67$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.36 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 20c | 759.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.73 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 14c | 691.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 58c | 689$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.38 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34eb…eabbbacked Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 26c | 625.31$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.73 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 49c | 579.27$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.31 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7174…9874backed No | 74c | 546.35$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…71d6backed Yes | 58c | 545.72$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 26c | 527.3$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.2 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 20c | 512.13$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.43 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 55c | 474.22$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.67 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 26c | 461.54$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.54 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…635fbacked Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 73c | 422.28$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.05 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes | 52c | 420$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 30c | 416.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.67 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 73c | 393$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.89 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 13c | 384.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…99f6backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 59c | 356.97$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.59 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 30c | 354.21$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.67 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…7f6cbacked No | 43c | 336.92$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.88 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 47c | 319.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.47 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…26c7backed Yes | 28c | 287.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 27c | 287$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +223.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 45c | 276.67$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.04 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…03b4backed Yes | 38c | 254.87$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.02 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 16c | 246.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacec…0947backed No | 74c | 244.05$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 45c | 225$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 45c | 223.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 22c | 210.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…79a4backed Yes | 28c | 207.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.14 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Yes | 28c | 206.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.94 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed No | 30c | 203.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed No | 14c | 199.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed No | 12c | 199.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…db2ebacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf0…4972backed Yes | 36c | 181.78$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Yes | 63c | 180.92$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 29c | 180.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81a3…d114backed Yes | 53c | 170.85$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 10c | 162.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 73c | 162.37$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.53 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 51c | 161.78$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 68c | 160$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 75c | 158.34$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.76 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb823…9b89backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…4cfdbacked Yes | 73c | 150.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed No | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0c…3f90backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…2f74backed Yes | 28c | 140.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +58%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 51c | 135.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 53c | 133.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 75c | 132.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 20c | 124.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.