TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

0xfd43…cd41

Rebuilt .

Qualified picks
240
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT5952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket57c$500LostJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket50c$100WonJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket63c$100WonJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket62c$200WonJul 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket51c$200WonJul 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket58c$500WonJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$362.07
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket69c$200LostJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket53c$200LostJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket58c$200WonJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket55c$200WonJul 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$163.64
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket58c$100WonJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket34c$50WonJul 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket60c$200WonJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket44c$200WonJun 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$254.55
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket45c$120LostJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.64
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket55c$200LostJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket50c$200LostJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket53c$200WonJun 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket36c$100WonJun 28, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket76c$100WonJun 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket47c$100LostJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket43c$200WonJun 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$265.12
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket54c$200WonJun 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket46c$150LostJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket48c$150LostJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2875%21 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket69c$1,880WonMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$844.75
Will Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket70c$501LostMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.5
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket58c$501LostMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.54
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket64c$500LostMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.48
Will Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket80c$1,600WonApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$400
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket67c$500WonApr 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$246.51
Will West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket61c$500WonApr 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$319.8
Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket78c$1,000WonApr 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$282.04
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket71c$982WonApr 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$401.22
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket71c$1,000WonApr 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$408.32
Will Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket75c$1,000WonApr 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$333.25
Will Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$1,000WonMar 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$369.9
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket74c$2,220WonMar 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$780
Will Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket74c$1,000LostMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.73
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket70c$1,001WonMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$429
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket71c$2,003WonMar 5, 2026, EST+40.8%+$818.01
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket74c$1,000WonMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$351.26
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$1,000WonMar 4, 2026, EST+37%+$369.9
Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket80c$1,000LostMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket76c$1,000WonMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$315.84
Will Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$1,000WonMar 4, 2026, EST+37%+$369.9
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$1,041WonFeb 23, 2026, EST+37%+$384.94
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket66c$2,756WonFeb 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$1,419.94
Will Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket79c$4,192WonFeb 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$1,114.24
Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket79c$933LostFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$933
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2867.9%19 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket61c$1,720WonMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,099.8
Will Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket76c$500WonMay 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$157.92
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket60c$500LostMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.4
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket57c$2,780WonMay 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,097.54
Will Torino FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket61c$1,000WonMay 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$639.21
Will AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket77c$1,540WonMay 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$460
Will US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket70c$1,400WonMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$600
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket76c$1,520WonMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$480
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket64c$2,481LostMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,480.53
Will Atalanta BC vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket76c$2,989LostMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,989.2
Will Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket67c$1,931LostMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,930.78
Will Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket70c$1,400WonMay 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$600
Will Pisa SC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket65c$1,860WonMay 1, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$1,017.11
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket71c$1,960WonApr 27, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$809.48
Will AC Milan vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket59c$500LostApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.3
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket64c$500LostApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.47
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket55c$500LostApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.94
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket56c$494WonApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$387.57
Will SSC Napoli vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket80c$1,600WonApr 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$400
Will Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket80c$2,557WonApr 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$639.16
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket75c$1,000LostApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.75
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket72c$2,428WonMar 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$944.2
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket76c$999LostMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.4
Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket67c$3,737WonMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,840.47
Will Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket63c$1,799WonMar 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,056.55
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AZ vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket65c$511LostMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$510.53
Will Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket70c$501WonMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$214.5
Will AFC Ajax vs. PSV end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket67c$595LostMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$595.22
Will FC Groningen vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket66c$500WonMay 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$257.72
Will FC Utrecht vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket76c$500WonMay 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$157.92
Will Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket65c$20WonApr 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Will Heracles Almelo vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket64c$509WonApr 26, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$287.17
Will Vitória SC vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket63c$523WonApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$306.97
Will FC Twente '65 vs. NEC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket67c$500LostApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.81
Will SC Heerenveen vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket71c$491WonApr 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$200.56
Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket67c$503LostApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.5
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket71c$1,000LostMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.68
Will Fortuna Sittard vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket74c$1,000WonMar 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$351.36
Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket76c$2,230WonMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$704.16
Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$1,999LostMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,999.4
Will SBV Excelsior vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket74c$2,000WonMar 7, 2026, EST+35.2%+$703.09
Will FC Groningen vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket74c$844WonMar 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$296.6
Will Heracles Almelo vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$1,000LostMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000.1
Vejle BK vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket79c$3,923WonMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$1,042.69
Will FC Twente '65 vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$2,504WonMar 1, 2026, EST+37%+$925.99
Will PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket75c$2,407LostMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,406.86
Will Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket72c$2,053LostFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$2,052.59
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket70c$2,153LostFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$2,152.59
Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. Heracles Almelo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket71c$2,466WonFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$1,007.17
Will Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket69c$3,807WonFeb 20, 2026, EST+44.9%+$1,710.29
All 25 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket56c$500WonMay 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$392.92
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket61c$500LostMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.19
Will Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket61c$500WonMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$319.8
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket63c$500LostMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.17
Will Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket60c$147LostMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.04
Will Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket70c$500WonMay 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$214.2
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket64c$500WonMay 3, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$281.51
Will CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket69c$501WonMay 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$225.05
Will Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket62c$500WonMay 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$306.65
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket60c$494LostApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.55
Will CA Osasuna vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket58c$500WonApr 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$362.02
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket61c$500LostApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.19
Will Valencia CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket58c$256WonApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$185.28
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket76c$1,520LostApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,520
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket62c$500WonApr 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$306.66
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket65c$1,035LostApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,034.91
Will Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket65c$501WonApr 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$269.5
Will Getafe CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket65c$500WonApr 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$269.15
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket79c$2,000WonApr 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$531.71
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket72c$1,000WonMar 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$388.92
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$1,000WonMar 4, 2026, EST+37%+$369.9
Will Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket69c$4,176WonFeb 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$1,876.3
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket71c$4,663LostFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$4,662.56
All 23 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick71cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paderborn vs. Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$2,140LostMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,139.94
Will Hamburger SV vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket66c$500WonMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$257.72
Will SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket63c$500LostMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.21
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket65c$500WonMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$269.13
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket66c$500WonMay 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$257.72
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket65c$493LostApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.35
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket60c$1,200LostApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket68c$1,340WonMar 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$630.81
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket69c$2,547LostMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,547.06
Will 1. FC Köln vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket77c$1,000WonMar 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$299.02
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$1,000WonMar 7, 2026, EST+37%+$370
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket80c$1,000WonMar 7, 2026, EST+25%+$250
Will SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket72c$1,000LostMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$999.88
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket76c$1,000LostMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000.06
Will Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket74c$1,000WonMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$351.25
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket77c$3,258WonFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.5%+$960.62
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket78c$3,746WonFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$1,056.67
Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket69c$2,585WonFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$1,161.37
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket74c$3,553LostFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$3,553.23
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket69c$2,225LostFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$2,224.89
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket80c$988WonFeb 14, 2026, EST+25%+$246.94
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket78c$6,664WonFeb 8, 2026, EST+28.2%+$1,879.59
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick70cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket64c$500WonMay 3, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$281.52
Will Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket71c$501LostMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.55
Will OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket66c$500LostMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.28
Will FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket76c$500WonMay 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$157.92
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$500LostMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.3
Will FC Nantes vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket66c$290WonMay 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$149.5
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket67c$500LostApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.49
Will Le Havre AC vs. FC Metz end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket66c$76LostApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.67
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket69c$500WonApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$224.73
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket67c$697WonApr 25, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$336.94
Will Lille OSC vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket79c$3,768LostApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,768.3
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket74c$3,019WonApr 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,060.73
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket72c$1,000WonMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$388.92
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket71c$14LostMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.27
Will Lille OSC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket69c$1,472LostMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,472.46
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket67c$1,591WonMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$783.42
Will Toulouse FC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$1,995WonMar 7, 2026, EST+37%+$738.25
Will AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket71c$1,000LostMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$999.91
Will FC Nantes vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket68c$1,000WonMar 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$470.71
Will OGC Nice vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket72c$15LostFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.12
Will FC Lorient vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket69c$617WonFeb 15, 2026, EST+44.9%+$277.08
All 21 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick70cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket68c$2,545WonApr 16, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$1,186.27
Will FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket72c$2,000WonMar 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$777.84
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket75c$2,000WonMar 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$666.5
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket67c$2,010WonMar 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$990
Will Ferencvárosi TC vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket67c$4,839WonMar 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$2,383.14
Will Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket68c$1,274WonMar 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$599.68
Will Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket67c$2,654WonMar 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,307.34
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket72c$2,667WonFeb 26, 2026, EST+38.9%+$1,037.13
Will Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket71c$556WonFeb 19, 2026, EST+40.8%+$226.9
Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket75c$2,250LostFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$2,250
Will PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket65c$3,249WonFeb 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$1,749.68
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1190.9%10 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick74cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket78c$2,340LostApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,339.95
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket79c$2,370WonApr 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$630
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket77c$2,310WonApr 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$689.99
Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket74c$2,185WonApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$767.83
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket72c$1,000WonMar 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$388.92
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket74c$3,868WonMar 17, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$1,329.51
Will Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket79c$2,058WonMar 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$547.03
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket68c$1,074WonFeb 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$505.25
Will Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket68c$2,048WonFeb 18, 2026, EST+47.1%+$963.61
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket69c$2,100WonFeb 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$943.52
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket72c$2,986WonFeb 17, 2026, EST+38.9%+$1,161.37
All 11 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket74c$1,000WonApr 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$351.26
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket75c$1,000WonApr 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$333.25
Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$500LostApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.05
Will Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket73c$951LostApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$951.13
Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket71c$1,022LostApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,022.05
Will Macarthur FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket74c$500WonApr 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$175.76
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket66c$2,160WonFeb 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$1,112.74
Will Sydney FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket72c$3,357WonFeb 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$1,305.52
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket75c$1,000WonFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.5%+$335.2
Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket67c$2,000WonFeb 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$985.74
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket72c$530WonFeb 23, 2026, EST+38.9%+$206
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: 1win vs Inner Circle (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked 1win · on Polymarket77c$1,000WonFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$298.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.