TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Pisa SC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,842
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,842 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3625…1187backed Yes32c6,250$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c4,998$3,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.5868750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No67c4,846$3,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.1121058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No78c3,397$2,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.565459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes43c3,107$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.8831051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes32c2,928$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.9143058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No65c2,877$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.112867.9%19 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No57c2,705$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.0232650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes36c2,619$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.5416819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes29c2,354$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.2822743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa475…bfe7backed No68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5fe…c03dbacked No68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c1,452$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.312,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No59c1,429$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.779576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No80c1,218$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No68c1,164$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.2441954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes32c1,149$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.843534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe54…3eddbacked Yes33c1,123$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4188…b517backed Yes7c899.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No68c796.2$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.7898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes36c740.09$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.944942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes32c727.42$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.773129%9 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No68c702.37$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.7624953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No64c582.44$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.411,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes22c499.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No68c483.93$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.864663%29 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes32c468.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed No67c448.59$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.03580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+49.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes26c422.57$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.229826.5%26 W · 72 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes32c401.98$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6313839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No68c332.96$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5532854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed No53c300.04$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.252166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked No67c299.05$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.055166.7%34 W · 17 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No69c230.83$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3911053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No69c228$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.686070%42 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+144.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes11c200$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2115844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No68c185$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.239354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No67c173.87$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9815050.7%76 W · 74 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes32c171.81$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9819042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No62c158.49$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.235244.2%23 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501010%1 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick38cpaid-75%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4810549.5%52 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked Yes46c146.74$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.51643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes32c140.6$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.994146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes36c137.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa9c…c6debacked Yes15c130$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.385642.9%24 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.415844.3%70 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes22c104.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233318.2%6 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No68c102.26$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7227453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefa1…8a16backed No59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.691471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No68c100.75$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2441854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3136456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3212357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes31c99.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9913146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208617.4%15 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Yes21c93.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205862.1%36 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d20…4313backed Yes32c92.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Yes43c91.07$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.162254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd26…77fcbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-55.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes33c86.76$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.631225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-48.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Yes22c80.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.784158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96b5…2193backed No66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761471.4%10 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes22c74.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4216219.1%31 W · 131 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Yes34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5313653.7%73 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No68c70.45$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5435646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Yes24c66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.924156.1%23 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Yes43c65.49$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.163666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510147.5%48 W · 53 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Yes22c63.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-45.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd3a…3203backed Yes32c62.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.992245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d05…864cbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed No69c60.18$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.411547.8%55 W · 60 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes21c56.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7920749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No69c55.65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a5c…d35cbacked Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes33c42.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147136.6%26 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f75…9498backed Yes52c38.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No67c36.19$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0618253.8%98 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes46c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.567556%42 W · 33 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes43c35.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.316950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee92…7ec3backed Yes33c33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d85…5c50backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fab…9db1backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101533.3%5 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ed…687ebacked Yes39c31.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked No68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked No69c27.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.434163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No68c27.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6826241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No76c26.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.227365.8%48 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e35…ee1abacked No79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321687.5%14 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick74cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.752240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.