TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6d05…864c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Serie A at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT3342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brazil vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+72%+$28.81
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ecuador vs. Germany: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$25.9
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$53.02
Canada vs. Qatar: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Argentina vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.41
Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.96
Hungary vs. Finland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.76
Indonesia vs. Oman: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will France vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.87
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+391.7%+$313.34
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$62.52
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.6
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$49.9
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.42
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$48.08
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$70.91
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.92
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$120
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+195.9%+$117.56
Will Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+178.1%+$46.04
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Pisa SC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Will AC Milan vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$27.76
All 15 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+62.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.