Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d336b98c9e900e0dc41de945d24ec70ba6cbc5e752f5a88f4e38ec1aad02cc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 25,946$9,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,014.41 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 71c | 19,621$13,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,723.24 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf9…f888backed Yes | 67c | 17,091$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 16,963$5,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,107.54 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 31c | 14,516$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Yes | 79c | 14,453$11,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,371.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 69c | 10,282$7,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,187.29 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 68c | 6,400$4,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Yes | 31c | 6,399$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…fcc9backed Yes | 30c | 5,772$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 35c | 5,628$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,642.59 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 29c | 4,366$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.35 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…54a6backed Yes | 30c | 4,210$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed No | 68c | 3,832$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bee…a715backed Yes | 69c | 3,605$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 68c | 3,017$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.59 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.99 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 68c | 2,800$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 2,707$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.18 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf367…212ebacked Yes | 31c | 2,697$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 2,679$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.85 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 63c | 2,627$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.14 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 68c | 2,400$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…7e7abacked No | 70c | 2,300$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 31c | 2,077$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.95 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 39c | 1,952$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.03 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,950$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 32c | 1,734$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked No | 70c | 1,714$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 70c | 1,600$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +7.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefd4…51b1backed No | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 52c | 1,303$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.1 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 69c | 1,175$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 64c | 1,119$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.68 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 32c | 1,111$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.24 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 69c | 1,111$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.29 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 70c | 1,040$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 70c | 999.11$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.73 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked No | 69c | 964.89$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.12 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 68c | 960$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.2 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 68c | 959.99$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.2 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +10.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 49c | 934.91$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.68 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 68c | 799.96$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.99 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked No | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Yes | 44c | 701.93$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 18c | 667.92$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.86 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…c4d1backed No | 70c | 658$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 68c | 640$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.8 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 70c | 627.71$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.31 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +11.2wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 70c | 560$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 68c | 560$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 68c | 560$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.0wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 30c | 534.36$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.31 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 70c | 508.99$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.7 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 32c | 489.84$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.75 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 37c | 464.4$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.47 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 22c | 455$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.9 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Yes | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.3wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 66c | 424.33$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.88 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 35c | 405.15$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…089bbacked Yes | 41c | 389.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa890…1a32backed Yes | 59c | 384.43$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Yes | 72c | 375.58$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 38c | 374.61$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.66 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 365.69$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.37 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…4af5backed No | 54c | 356.48$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed Yes | 45c | 344.44$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 79c | 342.2$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.31 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…59d0backed Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 30c | 339.9$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…e762backed Yes | 31c | 333.33$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…18acbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0b…fbafbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 56c | 321.43$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 68c | 320$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc674…dcd2backed Yes | 30c | 313.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 39c | 305.59$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…77fdbacked No | 49c | 300.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…93f9backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…070fbacked Yes | 62c | 267.97$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 30c | 257.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 70c | 244$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 47c | 241.42$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 68c | 240$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?this page
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?Yes won
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.