TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf009…43d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
334
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 59 out of 100; worst Serie A at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT11051.8%57 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.21
KBO: LG Twins vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.99
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$231
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$266.67
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$514.01
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$352.17
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$254.55
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
KBO: LG Twins vs. Lotte Giantsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.36
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
KBO: LG Twins vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$355.56
KBO: SSG Landers vs. KT Wizbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$764Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$488.72
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giantsbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.65
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. LG Twinsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$134.67
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$612.25
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+107.6%+$53.78
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Athletics vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT6139.3%24 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$340.54
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$37.21
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$650.07
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$844Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$748.28
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$366.67
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$254.55
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$537.67
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$287.8
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$411.48
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT3056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$757Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$756.63
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$246.27
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.18
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$362.07
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$139.42
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$191.8
LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+443.5%+$443.47
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$184.09
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.93
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$984Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$363.9
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.33
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.7
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$110.45
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$227.18
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$428.12
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$289.2
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$216.8
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,565Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,565.44
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.32
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$990.33
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.5
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.88
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$195.2
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.34
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$311.25
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$145.86
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$380
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,955Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,955.31
Will Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,289Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,028.57
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.94
AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$226.32
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.1
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$176.19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$246.27
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$228.61
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$879Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$878.55
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.12
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)backed Crystal Palace FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.16
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$720.85
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$266.58
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$428.51
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$288.24
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$449.3
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$318.75
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$266.04
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$181.73
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$601.64
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$325
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$312.24
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$492
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.82
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$816.29
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$328.62
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$291
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+56%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$195.52
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$323.63
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+300%+$600
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$492.07
Will FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.46
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$218.36
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$158.15
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.64
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.06
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$770
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,438Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$881.29
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+504.5%+$201.97
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$200
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$345.31
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.55
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-56%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Vissel Kōbe (-1.5)backed Avispa Fukuoka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$219.96
FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,060
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Nagoya Grampus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Ulsan HD FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
FC Anyang vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.24
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$152.15
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.35
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.43
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$100.53
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-60.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$306.45
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$255.56
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.73
All 4 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.22
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$39.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.