Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ad6fe386e22c8103059880719002a3d8ab382890966545d0955987a65d602c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AFC Bournemouthof Manchester City FC, AFC Bournemouth
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed AFC Bournemouth | 73c | 21,832$16,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,791.08 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Manchester City FC | 37c | 19,001$7,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,015.09 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Manchester City FC | 12c | 9,104$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 8,893$5,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.1 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed AFC Bournemouth | 64c | 8,599$5,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.86 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed AFC Bournemouth | 66c | 6,464$4,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.03 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Manchester City FC | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.92 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Manchester City FC | 37c | 5,616$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.91 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Manchester City FC | 36c | 5,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.69 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 5,111$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.58 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed AFC Bournemouth | 69c | 4,478$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.32 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed AFC Bournemouth | 64c | 4,277$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Manchester City FC | 36c | 3,639$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.46 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed AFC Bournemouth | 63c | 2,601$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.85 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed AFC Bournemouth | 63c | 2,368$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.15 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Manchester City FC | 35c | 2,218$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.32 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…911fbacked Manchester City FC | 37c | 2,108$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Manchester City FC | 36c | 2,098$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.79 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Manchester City FC | 16c | 1,905$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.47 | 724 | 42.7%309 W · 415 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked AFC Bournemouth | 64c | 1,875$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed AFC Bournemouth | 63c | 1,840$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.8 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked AFC Bournemouth | 63c | 1,655$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.3 | 604 | 45.4%274 W · 330 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed AFC Bournemouth | 64c | 1,634$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.84 | 560 | 51.4%288 W · 272 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…7016backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed AFC Bournemouth | 73c | 1,431$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.58 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Manchester City FC | 34c | 1,254$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked AFC Bournemouth | 64c | 1,143$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.16 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Manchester City FC | 36c | 1,134$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.21 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed Manchester City FC | 35c | 834.37$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Manchester City FC | 21c | 782.43$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.75 | 593 | 32.9%195 W · 398 L | -30.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed AFC Bournemouth | 64c | 779.19$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.51 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed AFC Bournemouth | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Manchester City FC | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Manchester City FC | 12c | 700$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Manchester City FC | 28c | 688.7$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.86 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Manchester City FC | 36c | 633.37$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.07 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked AFC Bournemouth | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 589$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.26 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Manchester City FC | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Manchester City FC | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Manchester City FC | 35c | 499.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…0350backed Manchester City FC | 36c | 483.33$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Manchester City FC | 27c | 444.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Manchester City FC | 21c | 420.7$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Manchester City FC | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Manchester City FC | 37c | 410$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.7 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb885…e677backed Manchester City FC | 37c | 362.91$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…03b4backed Manchester City FC | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed AFC Bournemouth | 63c | 319.44$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 182 | 38.5%70 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed AFC Bournemouth | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked AFC Bournemouth | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…4841backed AFC Bournemouth | 64c | 299.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked AFC Bournemouth | 69c | 291.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed AFC Bournemouth | 66c | 281.06$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…2758backed Manchester City FC | 23c | 277.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed AFC Bournemouth | 69c | 275.68$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa272…797abacked Manchester City FC | 37c | 263.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked AFC Bournemouth | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed AFC Bournemouth | 64c | 246.48$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 238$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Manchester City FC | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed AFC Bournemouth | 64c | 214.52$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Manchester City FC | 16c | 213.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e83…a620backed Manchester City FC | 36c | 202.78$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed AFC Bournemouth | 66c | 200.76$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.26 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Manchester City FC | 33c | 200.16$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked AFC Bournemouth | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Manchester City FC | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -7.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked AFC Bournemouth | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked AFC Bournemouth | 79c | 194.95$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…9741backed AFC Bournemouth | 66c | 171.1$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed AFC Bournemouth | 50c | 170.2$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Manchester City FC | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Manchester City FC | 57c | 160$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked AFC Bournemouth | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6b…ca1bbacked AFC Bournemouth | 64c | 151.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Manchester City FC | 34c | 150.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Manchester City FC | 33c | 150.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed AFC Bournemouth | 68c | 147.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…ae29backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 144.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…431abacked Manchester City FC | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x572c…c28fbacked Manchester City FC | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed AFC Bournemouth | 68c | 135.15$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed AFC Bournemouth | 43c | 135$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…a9bbbacked Manchester City FC | 36c | 133.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Manchester City FC | 35c | 129.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…a1adbacked AFC Bournemouth | 67c | 129.54$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 127.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a8…f031backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 126.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Manchester City FC | 36c | 123.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a109backed Manchester City FC | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked AFC Bournemouth | 67c | 119.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Manchester City FC | 31c | 117$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Manchester City FC | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)this page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.