TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,550

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,450 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No38c20,851$7,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,833.516,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No40c13,855$5,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,546.754,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes45c6,130$2,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,357.1416437.2%61 W · 103 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b38…52c8backed No0c5,600$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.182055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes57c5,163$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.824645.7%21 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes56c5,086$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.869055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No36c4,881$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.952,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Yes64c4,719$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.882161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88e2…7489backed No38c3,500$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No28c3,340$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.7759247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc617…25e8backed No32c3,220$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.561050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No37c2,918$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.521,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…d445backed Yes61c2,645$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.56757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes65c2,308$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.6920447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No38c2,130$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.9540655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No37c1,968$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.2418453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed No32c1,943$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.0611437.7%43 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes63c1,785$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.4615560%93 W · 62 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.675754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Yes64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.533060%18 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes66c1,505$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x625d…c6a1backed Yes48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+93.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Yes56c1,430$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.21580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+57.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No37c1,419$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9817339.9%69 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed No37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007433.8%25 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes70c1,300$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.4782763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xbcd2…43f3backed Yes78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Yes78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.054450%22 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Yes40c1,266$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.73672.2%26 W · 10 L+10.9wins+0.30per pick42cpaid+99.7%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xecd5…755ebacked Yes78c1,229$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.351369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes73c1,133$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.5469772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No36c1,127$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.9659445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No36c1,055$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.7741850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes63c1,032$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.756437.5%24 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed No36c999.98$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.993542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No48c997.93$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.7931849.1%156 W · 162 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No48c970.15$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.811,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No30c967.55$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.9822644.2%100 W · 126 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b29…556ebacked Yes55c887.82$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.521050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No36c788.11$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.821,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc55e…19c7backed Yes65c784.62$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.622958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No48c766.01$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.857833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No36c692.56$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.0155751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes64c691.62$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.575225%13 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes71c691.01$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.0320651.9%107 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf859…c775backed Yes51c688.8$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.631457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e71…52d1backed Yes62c535.84$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.62771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked No28c534.93$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.31752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18513721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc30f…b556backed Yes63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.19944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes64c453.13$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1319244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9e…208cbacked No39c439.28$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…98e3backed Yes63c421.65$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.011172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes39c399.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24410232.4%33 W · 69 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes51c399.99$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19615740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Yes53c393.64$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.0310031%31 W · 69 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes64c390.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.638350.6%42 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked Yes39c384.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.623953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.621838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes67c372.35$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.5435347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae1…d85abacked Yes65c357.48$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.123161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes64c343.75$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.752065%13 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd23f…0b63backed No38c330.08$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.43520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35f8…1902backed No55c329.53$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cbb…02a3backed Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f01…099cbacked No36c313.28$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.78425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Yes64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.53452.9%18 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf61…4d44backed Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.035332.1%17 W · 36 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814845.8%22 W · 26 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked No26c300$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes63c300$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1109953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No48c275.06$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3172142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes73c274.34$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4210634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57de…20cbbacked Yes78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.412766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x075d…4ef6backed Yes61c247.58$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes65c246.15$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1512741.7%53 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32be…6da7backed No38c245.53$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.31241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes64c240.2$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1814463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Yes63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.15362.3%33 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe4e…9903backed Yes63c237.29$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Yes64c230.92$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8e4…ff59backed Yes65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.771353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa371…60c5backed Yes65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.778666.3%57 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes65c228.26$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8910445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x107d…1738backed Yes63c226.11$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Yes68c220.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.465044%22 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2e…b55cbacked Yes70c220.32$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes65c211.12$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6510234.3%35 W · 67 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7456…5148backed No24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked No37c202.7$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756240.3%25 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed No51c200.43$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Yes65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5258…534ebacked Yes49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7efd…caedbacked Yes64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd243…56e5backed Yes52c199.96$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.983040%12 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No37c195.2$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3422049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes62c191.51$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3822645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes80c190.5$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.114975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.