TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Manchester City FCof AFC Bournemouth, Manchester City FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,117

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,896 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed AFC Bournemouth8c21,089$1,659 inLost-$1,658.851,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked AFC Bournemouth6c6,098$381 inLost-$380.914,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked AFC Bournemouth6c3,835$230 inLost-$230.112,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed AFC Bournemouth6c3,170$195 inLost-$195.4259247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab87…badabacked AFC Bournemouth7c2,157$151 inLost-$15130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed AFC Bournemouth8c2,000$160 inLost-$1607636.8%28 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed AFC Bournemouth6c1,991$129 inLost-$129.431,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed AFC Bournemouth13c1,915$249 inLost-$249.218949.4%44 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked AFC Bournemouth18c1,229$225 inLost-$2252748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed AFC Bournemouth7c714.29$50 inLost-$502524%6 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed AFC Bournemouth7c682.77$46 inLost-$45.776,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked AFC Bournemouth11c556$59 inLost-$58.9610234.3%35 W · 67 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked AFC Bournemouth7c535.71$40 inLost-$409131.9%29 W · 62 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-34.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed AFC Bournemouth16c499.93$82 inLost-$81.9110221.6%22 W · 80 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21dd…0b83backed AFC Bournemouth8c481.54$39 inLost-$39.391618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked AFC Bournemouth6c462.61$26 inLost-$25.811,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7468…3d24backed AFC Bournemouth9c351$32 inLost-$31.594226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed AFC Bournemouth6c341.47$21 inLost-$20.6122146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c6a…cbfbbacked AFC Bournemouth9c308.44$28 inLost-$27.762334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d82…ea1fbacked AFC Bournemouth13c236.33$30 inLost-$301145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked AFC Bournemouth8c161.48$12 inLost-$12.3722645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc427…6f4dbacked AFC Bournemouth17c150$26 inLost-$25.5933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.