Premier League · resolved market
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeb4eee399556e6c8c50155644906ba424e40d7d67464f090d683beddd1f5270
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 28,632$17,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,814.23 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 38c | 15,824$5,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,965.95 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 42c | 7,693$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.76 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 40c | 7,136$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.75 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 44c | 7,000$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.93 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 42c | 5,952$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 59c | 5,206$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.43 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 3,864$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.17 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 67c | 3,548$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.14 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 57c | 3,289$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.78 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 31c | 3,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 43c | 2,708$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.63 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 74c | 2,146$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.08 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 55c | 1,871$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.81 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 42c | 1,840$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.76 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…90b2backed Under | 67c | 1,731$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 64c | 1,608$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.63 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 58c | 1,552$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.72 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 57c | 1,510$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.69 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Under | 63c | 1,348$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.09 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 41c | 1,238$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.55 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 58c | 1,235$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.63 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over | 41c | 1,225$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.39 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 58c | 1,197$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.6 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f8…c9e9backed Over | 47c | 1,192$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 42c | 1,187$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.55 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 1,174$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.32 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Under | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Under | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Under | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 4c | 929.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under | 59c | 915.25$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 58c | 810$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.2 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 43c | 800.74$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.32 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6febbacked Under | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 14c | 778.2$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.26 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 29c | 750$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.5 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 34c | 739.51$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.32 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 42c | 688.1$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 56c | 624.36$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.18 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 30c | 598.14$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.49 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…2df9backed Under | 67c | 547.04$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.02 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 68cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 350 | 28.9%101 W · 249 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Under | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 62c | 480.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.31 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 58c | 475.85$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.86 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 45c | 437.86$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.04 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 63c | 426$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.62 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 58c | 418$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.84 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…d031backed Under | 71c | 411.11$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Under | 75c | 401.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.3 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 59c | 400.1$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.04 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 43c | 372.09$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 70c | 370.9$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…9d9abacked Over | 42c | 345$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 57c | 333.02$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.2 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 10c | 332.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…f10bbacked Under | 72c | 323.72$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +73%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 40c | 312.19$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.87 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…d9e7backed Under | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 44c | 300.72$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 56c | 299.23$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 27c | 291.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.96 | 726 | 58.7%426 W · 300 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bf…e5d8backed Under | 56c | 263.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 32c | 261.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 56c | 253.45$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.72 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…6f39backed Under | 74c | 252.49$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 34c | 251.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.23 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Over | 45c | 247.6$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Under | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…ed3dbacked Under | 63c | 232$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…2719backed Over | 31c | 222.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…2c59backed Over | 16c | 222$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…d33cbacked Over | 42c | 205.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Under | 71c | 201$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9836…5765backed Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 58c | 190$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 56c | 189.4$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.34 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…3792backed Under | 57c | 189.23$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 188.29$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 186.12$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.61 | 532 | 40%213 W · 319 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…3216backed Under | 55c | 183.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Over | 39c | 178.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 64c | 176.03$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9956…44e0backed Under | 58c | 172$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5this page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.