TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,411
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,411 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c28,632$17,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,814.236,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over38c15,824$5,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,965.9520545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over42c7,693$3,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,258.7613852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over40c7,136$2,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,843.754645.7%21 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over44c7,000$3,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,069.9345936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over42c5,952$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5005442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under59c5,206$3,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,134.43977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+44.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30013630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under56c3,864$2,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.1757847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under67c3,548$2,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.1481234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under57c3,289$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.7814463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over31c3,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.999055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over43c2,708$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.636660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under74c2,146$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.083871.1%27 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62011828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82013837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under55c1,871$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.819061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over42c1,840$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.767361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb855…90b2backed Under67c1,731$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.2366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under64c1,608$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.6354132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under58c1,552$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.722065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under57c1,510$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.6941850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Under63c1,348$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.094037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over41c1,238$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.552334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under58c1,235$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.634656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over41c1,225$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.396142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under58c1,197$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.655351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04f8…c9e9backed Over47c1,192$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.39955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over42c1,187$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.559254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over30c1,174$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.324,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Under71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+45.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10e…beedbacked Under62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over4c929.31$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8511437.7%43 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under59c915.25$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.867433.8%25 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under58c810$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.210751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over43c800.74$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.3219239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6febbacked Under58c800$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3362245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over14c778.2$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2669742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over29c750$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.53522.9%8 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over34c739.51$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.3245751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97dc…d8a5backed Over42c688.1$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2891250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under56c624.36$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.1875850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over30c598.14$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.4910234.3%35 W · 67 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f4…2df9backed Under67c547.04$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.021693.8%15 W · 1 L+4.1wins+0.26per pick68cpaid+44.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Under62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1901752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2257565.3%49 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under62c480.95$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.314040%16 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under58c475.85$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.861,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over45c437.86$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0495332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under63c426$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6222443.8%98 W · 126 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under59c423.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.731952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under58c418$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.8429250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaba…d031backed Under71c411.11$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Under75c401.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.33056.7%17 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under59c400.1$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.049345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over43c372.09$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16019244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under70c370.9$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6874644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea7…9d9abacked Over42c345$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Under58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.832755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under57c333.02$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.25635.7%20 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over10c332.9$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.296835.3%24 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x414c…f10bbacked Under72c323.72$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+73%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over40c312.19$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8727752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x083e…d9e7backed Under66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.03666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over44c300.72$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.354852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under56c299.23$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.67353.4%39 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over27c291.27$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9672658.7%426 W · 300 L+48.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9bf…e5d8backed Under56c263.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.041338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over32c261.4$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9514055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under56c253.45$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.726338.1%24 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf89d…6f39backed Under74c252.49$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over34c251.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2321250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1053161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+44.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Over45c247.6$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.762528%7 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Under58c241.38$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.384264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82a1…ed3dbacked Under63c232$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa163…2719backed Over31c222.84$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.084447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3006…2c59backed Over16c222$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.41333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd1…d33cbacked Over42c205.77$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.421040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Under71c201$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.292763%17 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Under58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010221.6%22 W · 80 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9836…5765backed Under60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under58c190$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.84242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under56c189.4$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3469651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e3…3792backed Under57c189.23$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.23955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under69c188.29$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.381,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c186.12$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6153240%213 W · 319 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2d4f…3216backed Under55c183.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.19540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over41c182.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Over39c178.31$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.548831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under64c176.03$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0618358.5%107 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9956…44e0backed Under58c172$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.