TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb855…90b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10,484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,483.63
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Camila Osoriobacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,833Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,832.79
Roland Garros WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$1,613.59
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,933Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,932.67
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchovabacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$800
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Diane Parrybacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,505Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$988.53
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Jessika Ponchetbacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,046Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$1,596.34
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Greet Minnen vs Lola Radivojevicbacked Greet Minnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,829Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,271
Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$19.53
Monza: Stefano Travaglia vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$17.15
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.53
Dubrovnik: Teodora Kostovic vs Alina Charaevabacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$472.91
Naples: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Enrico Dalla Vallebacked Mikhail Kukushkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.98
BNP Paribas Open: Elena Rybakina vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$9,610Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$4,020.99
BNP Paribas Open: Madison Keys vs Sonay Kartalbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,523Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,523.2
BNP Paribas Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$173.52
Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinnbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,023Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+26.6%+$1,866.96
Australian Open Women's: Anna Kalinskaya vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.48
Brisbane International: Marta Kostyuk vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,602Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$6,601.79
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutetbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,392Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,391.98
Erste Bank Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Cameron Norriebacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+113.7%+$113.54
Pan Pacific Open: Wakana Sonobe vs Sofia Keninbacked Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$97.95
Pan Pacific Open: Belinda Bencic vs Varvara Grachevabacked Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$833Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$292.5
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+8.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,370.11
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$287.81
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskbacked Avangard Omsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.76
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Sibir Novosibirskbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$182.16
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,408Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$402.69
Flyers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,769Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,768.57
Ducks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,901Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$1,921.55
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$350.04
Blue Jackets vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,970Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+63.9%+$2,538.31
Canadiens vs. Flamesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$81.49
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$908Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$271.2
Lithuania vs. Georgia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$199.75
Will Senegal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$213.11
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$916Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$915.95
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,253
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,557Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,557.4
Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,462Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$388.51
Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$826.31
Türkiye vs. Romania: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$342.65
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$8,057Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$2,544.23
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick73cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick77cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,306.73
Chicago State Cougars vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$8,886Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+26.2%+$2,325.38
St. John's Red Storm vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,974Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+30.6%+$2,437.26
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick77cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$53.29
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$313.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,379Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,517.96
Will Austin FC win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+25%+$795
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$321.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11,822Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+34.7%+$4,101.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,606Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+26%+$1,457.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,858Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+25%+$964.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,170.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.