NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad65887c07b4e9144d0778bd57ab64e527f1ce7e3b3d5d0232d9a09118cd6a6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Blue Jackets, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $361,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $363,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $361,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 744 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Blue Jackets | 40c | 89,386$35,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,347.07 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Capitals | 60c | 36,938$22,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,880.83 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Capitals | 60c | 26,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Capitals | 62c | 20,032$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,632.33 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,199.94 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Blue Jackets | 38c | 11,364$4,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,318.45 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Blue Jackets | 40c | 10,575$4,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,269.07 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Capitals | 61c | 9,472$5,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,669.23 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Blue Jackets | 1c | 7,820$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8c…6678backed Capitals | 60c | 6,816$4,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…96b6backed Blue Jackets | 40c | 6,808$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…90b2backed Capitals | 61c | 6,508$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Capitals | 59c | 6,125$3,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511.25 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Blue Jackets | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.96 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Blue Jackets | 25c | 5,355$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.56 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Capitals | 59c | 5,339$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.98 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Capitals | 60c | 4,995$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.65 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Blue Jackets | 39c | 4,000$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 61c | 3,360$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.29 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Capitals | 59c | 3,300$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.4 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Blue Jackets | 0c | 3,222$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Blue Jackets | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Blue Jackets | 38c | 2,760$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.9 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Capitals | 61c | 2,593$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.27 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 58c | 2,254$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.81 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Capitals | 59c | 2,222$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.02 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…ea82backed Blue Jackets | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…7bcabacked Capitals | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Capitals | 59c | 1,847$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.47 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 1,829$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Blue Jackets | 28c | 1,787$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Capitals | 62c | 1,774$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.19 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Capitals | 77c | 1,606$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.09 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Capitals | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Blue Jackets | 40c | 1,494$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.57 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blue Jackets | 39c | 1,400$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blue Jackets | 17c | 1,354$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.78 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Blue Jackets | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d08…d21bbacked Capitals | 60c | 1,220$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac2…4fcfbacked Blue Jackets | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccfb…376ebacked Blue Jackets | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Capitals | 60c | 1,094$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.89 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Blue Jackets | 40c | 1,068$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.01 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Capitals | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Blue Jackets | 38c | 1,005$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.97 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Capitals | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Blue Jackets | 41c | 980$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.8 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad34…4386backed Blue Jackets | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c6…b9adbacked Blue Jackets | 40c | 900$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Capitals | 59c | 805.75$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.14 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Capitals | 65c | 766.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.77 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Capitals | 60c | 736.12$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.45 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Capitals | 60c | 667$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.8 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Blue Jackets | 10c | 633.88$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2987…8237backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…a796backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe512…aa72backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…972fbacked Blue Jackets | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f0…9bfcbacked Capitals | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8150…e556backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4d…aa0abacked Capitals | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.26per pick | 48cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc431…7ea5backed Capitals | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…b890backed Capitals | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…1648backed Blue Jackets | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6849…a288backed Capitals | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fa…ef1bbacked Blue Jackets | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…d78abacked Blue Jackets | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0c72backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d402backed Capitals | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…b7d1backed Capitals | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…e7cfbacked Capitals | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…1400backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76eb…9861backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d47…b4a5backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…bc74backed Capitals | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc1…2188backed Capitals | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…cf96backed Capitals | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…415dbacked Capitals | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…f1f8backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0827…5143backed Capitals | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x364d…1878backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 590$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd63…0b93backed Capitals | 59c | 590$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x712d…1b04backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 590$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7efa…4312backed Capitals | 59c | 590$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…b348backed Capitals | 59c | 590$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98c…72d6backed Capitals | 59c | 590$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.9 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…399bbacked Blue Jackets | 41c | 590$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0470…13a4backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 590$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4604…84dfbacked Blue Jackets | 41c | 590$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.9 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…e132backed Capitals | 59c | 590$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf140…7e9bbacked Capitals | 59c | 590$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.9 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ca…56eabacked Blue Jackets | 41c | 590$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a82…2a50backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 590$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.9 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f13…0726backed Capitals | 59c | 590$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.9 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Blue Jackets | 39c | 583.77$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.6 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…90bcbacked Capitals | 59c | 580$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78fd…f5acbacked Capitals | 59c | 580$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9097…7ac0backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 580$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…1cbbbacked Capitals | 59c | 580$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f3…2631backed Capitals | 59c | 580$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Capitalsthis page
- Blue Jackets vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.