TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb2ab…f2c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST3351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,747Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+117.4%+$3,224.74
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+96.1%+$3,074.51
Spread: Vikings (-1.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Spread: Lions (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$6,831.8
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$3,000
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15,500
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12,949Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12,949
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13,951Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13,951
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$6,100
Spread: 49ers (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+104.1%+$3,122.45
Jaguars vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$2,300
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+68.1%+$1,907.32
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23,101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+64.3%+$14,845.1
Spread: Seahawks (-11.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12,200
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11,620Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8,414.23
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17,800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$10,012.5
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,306Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$6,305.55
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$3,500
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,922Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$4,922
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$4,400
Spread: Patriots (-10.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$8,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+75.2%+$6,016.84
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,406Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$4,233.22
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,512Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$1,188
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,300
Spread: Broncos (-8.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$5,000.24
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST3354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,563Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+61.3%+$2,183.77
Flyers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+61.3%+$292.35
Blue Jackets vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12,400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+61.6%+$7,632.33
Lightning vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$3,993
Blues vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$5,700
Oilers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,867Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+63.1%+$2,439.42
Kraken vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Blue Jackets vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+58.7%+$3,700
Blues vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,050Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$1,969.61
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,344Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$2,344
Canucks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+41%+$6,143.51
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,226Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$5,226.18
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$5,198
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$5,016
Flames vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$7,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$7,140
Blues vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20,713Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+69.9%+$14,485.48
Penguins vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$167.32
Flames vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10,866Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+87%+$9,449.31
Hurricanes vs. Bruinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$272.41
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,463Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,462.64
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,724Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$1,528.83
Predators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,900Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$4,100
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,124
Flames vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15,053Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+67%+$10,079.66
Blue Jackets vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST2958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,223Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$4,222.69
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$3,748.15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$17,005.76
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$21,023.98
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+27.5%+$4,529.88
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$9,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$9,000
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$5,699.99
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16,750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+49.3%+$8,249.99
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24,765Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$9,159.49
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+177.8%+$4,800
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+61.3%+$3,800
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Imperial (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,869Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$2,648.31
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,398.56
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8,169.01
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+155.5%+$852.03
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9,755.06
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,229
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,040Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+55.9%+$2,815.14
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$8,168Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$8,168.49
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,746
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO1)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15,713Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+31%+$4,870.76
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+25%+$36.75
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO1)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,085Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+46.9%+$976.91
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,294Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$6,293.76
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$9,387Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+58.7%+$5,513.22
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$2,153.85
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$18,000
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$6,200
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35,198Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37%+$13,018.55
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12,787Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,786.72
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$8,291Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$14,116.66
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,200
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,500
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,183.44
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$922Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+100.9%+$930
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14,080Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7,920
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$6,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,600
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37,846Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$9,461.49
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,973Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$1,981.8
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)backed PSG Talon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,285Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,285.18
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+170.8%+$8,541.87
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+49.9%+$178.05
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs FlyQuest (BO1)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$5,421.77
All 18 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11,700
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,221Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,220.55
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21,332Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+39.9%+$8,507.35
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Orolbai (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Orolbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7,000
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23,800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$8,362.16
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$4,963
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$3,800
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+63.9%+$3,836.07
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$2,166.67
Bautista vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$201
Park vs. Aliskerovbacked Aliskerov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,367Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$673.3
Allen vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$19,118.88
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-63.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,695Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$3,695
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+58.7%+$3,700
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10,000
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$2,981.48
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+72.6%+$2,178.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,786Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,786.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.