Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ae3f62847da298b9f375e5dbdcaccfeb836b4330b7ffae11653a137ca846dad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $466,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $580,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 480 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 31c | 42,891$13,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,296.32 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 68c | 38,504$26,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,314.53 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yes | 69c | 33,144$22,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,274.76 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 32c | 31,874$10,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,192.1 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 31c | 27,252$8,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,353.63 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 69c | 22,182$15,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,769.65 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 31c | 20,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.95 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 31c | 19,404$6,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,015.23 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 69c | 18,956$13,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,939.72 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 31c | 15,737$4,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,878.46 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 32c | 15,439$4,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,928.37 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 69c | 12,982$9,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,969.77 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 69c | 10,146$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,145.14 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…cbabbacked No | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Yes | 69c | 8,731$5,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 40c | 7,936$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174.39 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 32c | 7,189$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.4 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 6,589$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.42 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 31c | 6,406$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.48 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 69c | 6,252$4,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.05 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 33c | 6,062$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.5 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 37c | 6,011$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.72 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 31c | 6,000$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.99 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 68c | 3,783$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.86 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12b…1652backed Yes | 68c | 3,713$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 3,627$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.25 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 62c | 3,523$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.74 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed Yes | 69c | 3,333$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.33 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 69c | 3,275$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.71 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed No | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 68c | 2,950$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 31c | 2,920$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.99 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Yes | 70c | 2,906$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.78 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 32c | 2,666$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.11 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 76c | 2,660$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.78 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 31c | 2,600$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes | 69c | 2,594$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.07 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 29c | 2,590$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 31c | 2,500$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…e042backed Yes | 69c | 2,149$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.28 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed No | 31c | 2,146$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 30c | 2,130$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.08 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 69c | 2,113$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.52 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…3a5bbacked Yes | 69c | 2,055$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 33c | 1,999$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.67 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 68c | 1,989$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.48 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 61c | 1,955$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.16 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 23c | 1,756$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.29 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed No | 43c | 1,706$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.59 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 31c | 1,673$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.67 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…4194backed Yes | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 29c | 1,584$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.57 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed No | 30c | 1,571$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…b883backed Yes | 69c | 1,512$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.76 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 68c | 1,511$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.39 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 32c | 1,508$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.37 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Yes | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 69c | 1,457$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.64 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 31c | 1,454$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.3 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed No | 31c | 1,444$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 57c | 1,411$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.65 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…b175backed Yes | 69c | 1,343$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked Yes | 68c | 1,212$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.84 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0b…2b8ebacked No | 31c | 1,211$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 31c | 1,200$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 29c | 1,108$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.51 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 71c | 1,050$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.5 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 69c | 1,014$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.49 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…2bb3backed Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c95…ebecbacked No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 35c | 999.34$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.92 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 32c | 984.95$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.27 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 69c | 968.82$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.33 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed Yes | 55c | 956.36$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.36 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 33c | 915.62$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.16 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 70c | 899.59$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.88 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 68c | 875$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.85 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 32c | 872$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed No | 31c | 853$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.43 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 71c | 849.15$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.15 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 31c | 800.45$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.39 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…fabbbacked No | 29c | 799.83$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes | 69c | 797.1$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.1 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…fd20backed Yes | 65c | 768.94$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.94 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Yes | 69c | 765$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.15 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed Yes | 68c | 738.24$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.06 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…792bbacked Yes | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…e848backed Yes | 60c | 721.67$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2752…8ce3backed Yes | 69c | 720.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.73 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes | 67c | 705.6$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will Everton win on 2025-10-18?No won
- Will Manchester City vs. Everton end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.