TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf341…d026

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 59 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+32.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+198.8%+$596.31
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+188.5%+$1,319.17
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$392.86
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+100%+$700
Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$960.78
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,900
Bengals vs. Packersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Titans vs. Raidersbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Cardinals vs. Coltsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Patriots vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$699.29
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+150%+$499.5
Chargers vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Rams vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$767Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$766.59
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$572.73
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$900
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$646.15
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$1,702.7
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$1,400
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$934.09
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$489.4
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+150%+$750
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$960.78
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$785.71
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$785.71
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick53cpaid+83.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+100%+$1,000
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$1,733.33
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Bruins vs. Capitalsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$818.4
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$639.34
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$646.15
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+203%+$1,015.15
Blackhawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+37%+$184.93
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+133.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$480.2
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Boise State (-12.5)backed Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$672.55
Utah State vs. Hawaiibacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,529Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,529.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$342.14
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$655.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Iceland win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$214.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$611.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$245.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.