NFL · resolved market
Bills vs. Falcons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x626a49d9b82acaa9e86760c0cddad6a71aceefbef72f4f1c154ff8e358ae88c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Falconsof Bills, Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,643,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,529,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,643,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 841 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Falcons | 35c | 958,944$338,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620,482.79 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bills | 55c | 772,013$422,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422,648.37 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Bills | 66c | 259,948$171,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171,565.54 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Bills | 65c | 229,672$148,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148,546.92 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Falcons | 35c | 165,452$57,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,779.89 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Falcons | 58c | 121,870$70,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,617.08 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Falcons | 35c | 120,000$42,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,000 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Falcons | 34c | 110,499$37,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,764.53 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Falcons | 34c | 79,973$27,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,782.07 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Falcons | 55c | 75,383$41,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,618.52 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bills | 65c | 71,560$46,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,372.04 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Falcons | 55c | 70,472$38,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,774.05 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Bills | 64c | 65,555$41,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,955.2 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Falcons | 34c | 55,000$18,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,174.98 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d89…5846backed Bills | 59c | 50,880$29,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,821.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Falcons | 34c | 50,000$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,999.92 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Bills | 66c | 43,732$28,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,863.11 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Falcons | 34c | 37,892$12,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,008.52 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bills | 64c | 36,500$23,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,360.36 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576d…767dbacked Falcons | 44c | 35,107$15,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,691.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Falcons | 35c | 35,000$12,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,849.94 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Bills | 51c | 31,735$16,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,039.52 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Falcons | 34c | 30,048$10,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,683.49 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Falcons | 34c | 30,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,799.97 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Bills | 57c | 29,790$17,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,063.73 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…d7ccbacked Bills | 66c | 27,267$17,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,996.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Bills | 53c | 27,000$14,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,379.99 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Bills | 1c | 26,281$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.81 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Falcons | 73c | 25,546$18,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,004.07 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Bills | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,249.99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Bills | 65c | 25,000$16,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,249.89 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d46…ef86backed Falcons | 59c | 22,903$13,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,440.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Bills | 66c | 22,068$14,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,564.87 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Falcons | 35c | 20,889$7,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,577.99 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Falcons | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,199.96 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Falcons | 34c | 19,822$6,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,082.34 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Falcons | 34c | 18,613$6,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,206.26 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Bills | 65c | 18,234$11,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,852.01 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Falcons | 77c | 17,268$13,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,040.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa78f…72dbbacked Bills | 53c | 16,011$8,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,482.75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Falcons | 34c | 15,553$5,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,241.07 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Bills | 65c | 15,268$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Bills | 30c | 15,074$4,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,542.15 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…c07dbacked Bills | 66c | 15,004$9,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,902.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Falcons | 35c | 14,760$5,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,594 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Falcons | 34c | 14,526$4,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,587.47 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Falcons | 40c | 14,365$5,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,639.66 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Bills | 65c | 14,364$9,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,366.91 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Falcons | 52c | 13,726$7,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,640.46 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Falcons | 34c | 13,365$4,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,786.51 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Bills | 65c | 13,080$8,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,528.1 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Bills | 25c | 12,662$3,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,165.42 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Falcons | 61c | 10,828$6,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,217.82 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Falcons | 66c | 10,756$7,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,663.13 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Falcons | 65c | 10,713$6,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,795.13 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb567…ffeabacked Bills | 0c | 10,058$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…d292backed Bills | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Falcons | 34c | 9,717$3,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,390.39 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Bills | 40c | 9,400$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784.58 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Falcons | 34c | 8,500$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,589.98 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46e…c3b5backed Falcons | 35c | 8,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Falcons | 34c | 8,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,279.99 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Bills | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Falcons | 48c | 8,000$3,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,184.6 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Bills | 35c | 7,797$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.08 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Falcons | 34c | 7,785$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,138.22 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Falcons | 35c | 7,776$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,022.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ab76backed Bills | 66c | 7,573$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Bills | 65c | 7,540$4,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,864.85 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Bills | 56c | 7,088$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Bills | 48c | 7,075$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,397.39 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Falcons | 34c | 7,054$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,653.58 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Bills | 65c | 6,704$4,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360.79 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Bills | 26c | 6,700$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…a5d6backed Bills | 37c | 6,654$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.36 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Bills | 28c | 6,587$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.99 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71f…f3f7backed Falcons | 35c | 6,500$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,225 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bills | 64c | 6,500$4,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,185 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Falcons | 49c | 6,132$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,156.05 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Bills | 66c | 6,061$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Bills | 50c | 6,000$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…37e0backed Falcons | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 28cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad1…de17backed Bills | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Bills | 64c | 5,643$3,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,611.52 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Falcons | 77c | 5,582$4,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.13 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Bills | 1c | 5,570$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.65 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Bills | 24c | 5,553$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.7 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1b…96b0backed Bills | 66c | 5,500$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,630 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Bills | 64c | 5,334$3,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,398.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Bills | 63c | 5,212$3,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,263 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Bills | 44c | 5,112$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.9 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bills | 53c | 5,034$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.01 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bills | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f98…8229backed Bills | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Falcons | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.99 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bills | 2c | 4,990$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Bills | 65c | 4,750$3,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,087.5 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bills | 43c | 4,500$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…1a3abacked Falcons | 34c | 4,277$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,823.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Falcons | 58c | 4,259$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.74 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bills vs. Falconsthis page
- Bills vs. Falcons: O/U 48.5Under won
- Bills vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: Bills (-3.5)Falcons won
- Spread: Bills (-4.5)Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.