TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71b3…a5d6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
152
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 57 out of 100; worst AI at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST3046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,015
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Commanders vs. Chiefsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,286Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+235.7%+$5,387.05
Steelers vs. Bengals: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$676.2
Bears vs. Commanders: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$404.25
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+217.9%+$942.49
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$234
Bills vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+102.5%+$405
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,479Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,479.36
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$211.37
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$148.61
Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$479.04
Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$524.4
49ers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+98.7%+$372.5
Bengals vs. Packersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Bengals vs. Packers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+93.2%+$482.5
Spread: Packers (-14.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$245.45
Spread: Steelers (-6.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+100%+$560
Seahawks vs. Jaguarsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+93.2%+$486.83
Seahawks vs. Jaguars: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+100%+$500
Spread: Colts (-7.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$365
Patriots vs. Saints: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+98.4%+$787.08
Cowboys vs. Panthers: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+108.5%+$557.6
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+136.6%+$816.13
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.58
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$56.76
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Jets vs. Kingsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Panthers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Red Wings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lightning vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Predators vs. Wildbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Red Wings vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$266.04
Senators vs. Sabresbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Penguins vs. Ducksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$133.55
Golden Knights vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$396
Kraken vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$336
Lightning vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$384
Predators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$280
Oilers vs. Rangersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$337.49
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+150%+$600
Blues vs. Canucksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$433.33
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$455
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+39%+$98.23
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$611
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$213
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+144%+$395.4
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.87
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.12
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$357.3
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$399.09
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.4%+$528.2
Pacers vs. Clippersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,780Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+59.5%+$1,059.6
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40.5
Thunder vs. Bullsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+81.8%+$180
Timberwolves vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Trail Blazers vs. Lakersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$880
Thunder vs. Mavericksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+79%+$395.24
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$430
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee vs. Alabamabacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Cincinnati vs. Oklahoma Statebacked Oklahoma State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$186.67
North Carolina vs. Californiabacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$10
Arizona State vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
BYU vs. Arizona: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+93.4%+$96.94
Georgia vs. Auburnbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+94.9%+$202.29
O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
South Carolina vs. LSUbacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
O/U 57.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Kansas vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 59.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$98
Florida Gators vs. Texas A&M: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$98
Arkansas vs. Tennessee: O/U 68.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
Indiana vs. Oregon: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
O/U 55.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
O/U 58.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
O/U 57.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
O/U 55.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
UCLA vs. Michigan State: O/U 53.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$82.8
Houston vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
Miami (OH) vs. Akron: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+99.8%+$104.9
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$45.34
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.13
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-13.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.08
Spread: Florida Gators (-35.5)backed Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.11
Idaho Vandals vs. Eastern Washington Eaglesbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$52.82
USC Trojans vs. Washington Huskiesbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.85
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.91
Villanova Wildcats vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+69.5%+$24.39
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Detroit Titansbacked Detroit Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$44.61
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
Miami Hurricanes vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+113.4%+$52.67
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-7.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.62
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$39.56
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$195.23
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,586Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+55.6%+$1,438.5
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$235
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$2,347.83
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,450Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+125%+$3,062.82
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+150%+$60
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+71.6%+$703.43
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.26
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+150%+$600
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+258.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$165
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,716Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+34%+$584
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$70.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$272.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.