MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda340f9d8a81ca349c2fed359eb8e5680c9000b07179225c1eddc9d7ff6e856b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 100,000$60,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,172.47 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 51,933$18,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,693.06 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 17,641$10,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,231.61 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 17,200$7,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,976 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 15,815$6,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,515.41 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 13,761$6,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,641.83 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 13,473$7,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,740.53 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 12,226$5,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,278.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 8,035$4,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600.99 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 7,477$3,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,262 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 7,467$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,331 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…a5d6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 5,513$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,062.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 5,512$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.42 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…c2c4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed83…a91fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -66%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 2,422$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.4 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.1 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 1,869$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.2 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 1,533$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.48 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 937.02$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.62 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 820$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.6 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1770…9483backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…12babacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75a…5a83backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 329.74$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.06 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eeb…0f05backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 327.38$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 317.13$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.25 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 250$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.59 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 169.95$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4a…1e04backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 101$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +64%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 55.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 32.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 41cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Brewers vs. DodgersDodgers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.