MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9594f6c74afbee48a20b74ea912e9034a7a9ecb9d0b02da0ee5668c0b2628a49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 47c | 7,050$3,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,736.63 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 6,767$3,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.69 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 46c | 5,425$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.11 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Over | 54c | 4,333$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 47c | 3,774$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.34 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 55c | 1,838$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.18 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…61b1backed Over | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 1,136$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.72 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 44c | 423.6$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.68 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Under | 48c | 303.9$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.03 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…602cbacked Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Under | 48c | 220$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 48c | 215.24$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.72 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 55c | 192$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Under | 53c | 187.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Over | 50c | 126$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa92a…e1b9backed Under | 48c | 106.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…a30cbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 47c | 87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb1…3007backed Over | 59c | 84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…cc97backed Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 54c | 70.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…c533backed Under | 47c | 60.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Under | 44c | 59.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…a034backed Over | 55c | 56.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Over | 53c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…e16cbacked Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa582…8ec0backed Under | 50c | 36.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 47c | 33.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfca9…cb3dbacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed12…86f8backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5this page
- Brewers vs. DodgersDodgers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.