TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x369e…d016

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
216
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT11560.9%70 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$26.04
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$16.11
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$19.61
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$26.72
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$14.17
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$37.18
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$13.78
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.97
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+93%+$55.21
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$89.45
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$45.11
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.51
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$34.29
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$575.62
Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$155.56
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$150.94
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-11.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$33
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+97.4%+$14.61
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$10.84
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$7.19
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+53.8%+$17.23
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+88.7%+$49.66
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$34.98
Spread: Bears (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 35.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$43.45
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Spread: Broncos (-6.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+88.7%+$24.83
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$68.72
Eagles vs. Cowboys: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+97.3%+$77.86
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+100%+$30
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+88.7%+$30.15
Lions vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$107.25
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST2839.3%11 W · 17 L-6.6wins-0.24per pick63cpaid-37.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Lakersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$217
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+104.1%+$34.35
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$5.78
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+74.2%+$10.39
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$64.9
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+47.1%+$8
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+56.3%+$6.2
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+85.4%+$25.62
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Mavericks vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$187.2
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$201
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.9
FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+74%+$292.48
CD Guadalajara vs. CF América: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$39.38
CA Mineiro vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$390
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Club Tijuana vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+49.2%+$98.31
Club Necaxa vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$58
CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+56.3%+$59.63
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+64.7%+$81.5
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$79.1
LSU vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-52.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.57
Golden Knights vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$121
Capitals vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+68%+$16.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Córdoba CF vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$265
Girona vs. Real Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$15.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$314.29
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$268
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+72.5%+$79.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$101.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PEC Zwolle vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dortmund vs. Monterrey: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Lorient vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$125
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.