NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b40ee36ca84292d6ca84d7497185e724573d6f7915c6fc3676ad3badf420698
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $555,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $558,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $555,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 350,832$171,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178,929.22 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 150,000$76,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,500 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 51c | 114,742$58,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,518.62 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 52c | 62,500$32,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,187.5 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 50c | 56,546$28,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,525.5 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 51c | 55,247$28,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,203.44 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 38,762$19,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,528.48 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 26,398$13,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,279.09 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 22,146$10,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,515.83 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 51c | 12,360$6,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,303.6 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 9,764$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,979.64 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 49c | 6,523$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,303.37 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 6,331$3,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.6 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 51c | 5,075$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.25 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 52c | 4,033$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.28 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 48c | 4,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.99 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.83 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 47c | 2,579$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.1 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 48c | 2,500$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Under | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 50c | 1,756$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 50c | 1,260$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 51c | 1,128$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.72 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Over | 47c | 1,074$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.76 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 796$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 51c | 774.88$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.91 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 52c | 688.57$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.59 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 645.14$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.12 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 47c | 537.79$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.83 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 49c | 505.05$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 464.58$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.58 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 50c | 392$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 370.45$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.13 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Under | 51c | 333$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 49c | 299.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 54c | 272$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 252.25$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.13 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under | 59c | 251.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…1f54backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 40c | 170.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.59 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 72c | 168.06$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Under | 52c | 142.39$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 51c | 141.68$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 50c | 138.94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.47 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 50c | 127.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…6179backed Under | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b07…3978backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 49c | 97.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…8de2backed Over | 50c | 96.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 52c | 86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 77.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Under | 72c | 69.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Over | 58c | 69.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 481 | 57.2%275 W · 206 L | +21.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 45c | 61.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…2bb0backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…8debbacked Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 49c | 47.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5de…a312backed Over | 50c | 40.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 50c | 39.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Under | 52c | 38.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba5…f080backed Over | 50c | 36.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 31.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 50c | 29.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Under | 53c | 28.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked Under | 53c | 23.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 50c | 23.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Over | 50c | 23.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 49c | 22.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 50c | 22.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 52c | 20.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…3264backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Kings: O/U 5.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. KingsGolden Knights won
- Golden Knights vs. Kings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Kings: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.