TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f69…23cb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT11127%30 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.09
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.1
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.75
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.72
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.86
Red Wings vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
Islanders vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$51.06
Senators vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.2
Hurricanes vs. Flamesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.56
Hurricanes vs. Flames: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$178.48
Senators vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$153.17
Canadiens vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$656.13
Canucks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+289.8%+$150.8
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$76.43
Hurricanes vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+177.8%+$153.56
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$535.21
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$416.24
Wild vs. Utahbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$82.17
Jets vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$61.04
Wild vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$113.22
Golden Knights vs. Capitalsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$179.86
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$28.2
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.6
76ers vs. Nuggetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.68
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.55
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.82
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.41
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.2
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.6
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.92
Grizzlies vs. Pistonsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.04
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.59
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$722.61
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.94
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$124.32
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$79.92
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$53.28
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$78.9
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$33.3
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$153.81
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+29%+$45
All 21 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+156.4%+$183
All 3 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.58
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$31.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+177.8%+$128
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.