Fed Rates · resolved market
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53f82bd52566e30ae3f8131cb92095dd92ecdf2b0204af0edc226ee194e923fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,626,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,238,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,626,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,559 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba27…44ebbacked No | 1c | 673,276$9,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,699.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed No | 2c | 279,370$5,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,738.24 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -96.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 1c | 219,992$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.32 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…1824backed No | 2c | 214,059$3,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,582.1 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe1…b7e5backed No | 2c | 183,115$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc6…dfe9backed No | 2c | 149,608$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 11c | 149,108$16,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,683.52 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…c348backed No | 2c | 138,986$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,696.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…c73bbacked No | 0c | 134,458$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed No | 6c | 132,626$7,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,913.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed No | 2c | 128,072$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.86 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2b…a8ddbacked No | 2c | 125,358$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 5c | 123,000$6,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,604.14 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c8b0backed No | 2c | 116,728$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 2c | 113,987$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.84 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked No | 3c | 109,955$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495.41 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Yes | 74c | 107,037$78,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,316.5 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2300…21c8backed No | 1c | 100,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac51…da02backed No | 2c | 95,997$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f23…b36ebacked No | 5c | 82,745$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6095…b9fbbacked No | 7c | 79,262$5,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,637.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48c3…e41abacked No | 2c | 72,613$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b52…354ebacked No | 1c | 71,684$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…87a0backed No | 2c | 68,420$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.4 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed No | 18c | 66,837$11,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,810.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 13c | 60,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…1339backed No | 1c | 57,900$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 2c | 56,837$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.91 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3e…2aebbacked No | 2c | 53,100$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ce…b815backed No | 1c | 52,717$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3877…4daabacked No | 2c | 51,082$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 15c | 50,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -41%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…cf1dbacked No | 2c | 50,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 11c | 50,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed No | 2c | 48,500$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…44abbacked No | 2c | 48,182$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c1…cacebacked No | 6c | 44,726$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked No | 4c | 43,794$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.58 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abe…7a64backed No | 2c | 43,266$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9313…7775backed No | 2c | 40,094$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked No | 3c | 39,983$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.11 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -91%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…fc17backed No | 2c | 38,533$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…a614backed No | 1c | 38,287$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e4…626ebacked No | 1c | 38,180$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…8803backed No | 1c | 38,107$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5800…703abacked No | 1c | 37,639$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5247…8ae5backed No | 1c | 36,418$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700c…9368backed Yes | 80c | 35,000$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…1ce6backed No | 2c | 32,155$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935f…88a6backed No | 2c | 31,365$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…d9d8backed No | 2c | 30,104$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Yes | 80c | 30,000$23,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,080.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…54b2backed No | 2c | 30,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…a51cbacked No | 16c | 30,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.97 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 14c | 29,486$4,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.67 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…58a2backed No | 2c | 29,412$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5989…12a3backed No | 2c | 29,152$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…73e7backed No | 0c | 27,283$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad0…033ebacked No | 2c | 26,706$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…2dd4backed No | 2c | 26,689$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba09…cca9backed No | 11c | 26,667$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ed…6609backed No | 2c | 25,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…9d31backed No | 2c | 24,618$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 14c | 24,190$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471.62 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a04…d57dbacked No | 8c | 24,048$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…30c0backed No | 4c | 23,810$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…ae93backed No | 2c | 23,481$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…8764backed No | 1c | 23,098$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…ea47backed No | 2c | 23,033$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 2c | 23,000$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.2 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -96.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…e2c1backed No | 2c | 21,739$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebd…2882backed Yes | 79c | 21,458$16,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,472.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487b…eccbbacked Yes | 69c | 20,818$14,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,453.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6c…b6e1backed No | 10c | 19,964$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfa…4386backed No | 1c | 19,838$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf74…b16cbacked No | 2c | 19,246$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…fb7fbacked No | 2c | 19,239$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0da…fba0backed No | 2c | 18,789$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb60…fc1abacked No | 2c | 18,740$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad76…daa4backed No | 3c | 18,608$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x636b…6915backed No | 6c | 18,478$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4baa…937fbacked No | 1c | 17,795$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked No | 3c | 17,748$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.89 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…5692backed No | 2c | 17,425$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd49…a759backed No | 3c | 17,396$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c35…b7a1backed No | 2c | 16,874$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…f8bbbacked No | 1c | 16,219$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e64…5c0dbacked No | 2c | 15,706$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2a…0e86backed No | 2c | 15,519$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc4…7bb2backed No | 4c | 15,261$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ed…3c03backed No | 20c | 15,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…9d43backed No | 2c | 14,800$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e94…3d35backed No | 18c | 14,633$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed No | 6c | 14,525$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x609b…6834backed No | 1c | 14,150$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8275…038bbacked No | 4c | 13,913$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f27…7acabacked No | 11c | 13,636$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x527b…eb08backed No | 1c | 13,500$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed No | 9c | 13,074$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.39 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 12c | 12,906$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.02 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?this page
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No won
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No won
- No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.