Fed Rates · resolved market
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6e0317cee513cc3afdc1954ac576b241ad2287536e88b17fd3a77b4c3d0976e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,216,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,606,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,216,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,090 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 6,700,251$15,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,524.76 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 1c | 5,909,613$31,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,418.91 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…f7a7backed Yes | 0c | 5,419,027$12,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,997.39 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…538dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,005,000$5,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,005 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a9…2c0cbacked Yes | 0c | 4,898,316$9,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,796.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53c…67a5backed Yes | 0c | 2,499,993$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 0c | 2,172,566$9,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,881.95 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes | 0c | 1,775,000$2,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…e727backed Yes | 0c | 1,669,941$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.84 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 1c | 1,505,253$7,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,526.26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…1ce6backed Yes | 0c | 760,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f2…1240backed Yes | 1c | 657,143$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4877…d812backed Yes | 0c | 502,277$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3312backed Yes | 0c | 499,999$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…dd73backed Yes | 1c | 452,238$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,713.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…cfdcbacked Yes | 0c | 362,370$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0699…f15bbacked Yes | 0c | 291,581$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3695…6052backed Yes | 0c | 283,333$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…a623backed Yes | 0c | 280,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…af47backed Yes | 1c | 268,258$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ff…14c3backed Yes | 1c | 249,900$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 0c | 231,495$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.99 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes | 0c | 224,998$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60a…d285backed Yes | 1c | 224,100$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked Yes | 0c | 218,000$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…42b5backed Yes | 1c | 205,910$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aec…0b3ebacked Yes | 0c | 204,000$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc0…e50ebacked Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…e3b5backed Yes | 1c | 199,916$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec7…71a4backed Yes | 0c | 198,360$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a9…3567backed Yes | 0c | 198,000$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…bd74backed Yes | 0c | 191,924$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9940…b140backed Yes | 1c | 190,525$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…67e4backed Yes | 0c | 188,000$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b76…6cb5backed Yes | 1c | 186,634$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…92e2backed Yes | 0c | 186,435$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465f…e9afbacked Yes | 0c | 179,154$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7704…9770backed Yes | 0c | 155,000$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…8abfbacked Yes | 0c | 153,000$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x680e…e4b9backed Yes | 1c | 150,208$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ce…9dafbacked Yes | 1c | 150,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 0c | 147,830$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.66 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf865…436bbacked Yes | 1c | 147,592$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…ec57backed Yes | 0c | 145,000$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfa…e3f7backed Yes | 0c | 126,290$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Yes | 0c | 125,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…3be3backed Yes | 1c | 122,655$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…74a8backed Yes | 1c | 122,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d5…919abacked Yes | 1c | 120,510$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Yes | 0c | 120,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b0…7f46backed Yes | 1c | 117,988$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 0c | 117,975$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.92 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee23…10d2backed Yes | 1c | 111,828$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…26aabacked Yes | 0c | 106,203$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…dbf6backed Yes | 0c | 105,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6f…c91ebacked Yes | 0c | 105,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…d273backed Yes | 1c | 104,617$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…291abacked Yes | 1c | 102,691$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb40…ac42backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…520dbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bf…5ccebacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…63cebacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4074…0a67backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a4…2969backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb2…6b94backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…96edbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…77f4backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…639ebacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2f…e797backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c48…dbc2backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…257dbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc4…1b1abacked Yes | 0c | 96,650$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f6…8f62backed Yes | 0c | 92,520$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5448…7c3cbacked Yes | 0c | 92,390$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22bb…598dbacked Yes | 0c | 91,870$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fe…b3cbbacked Yes | 1c | 89,123$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…116abacked Yes | 1c | 89,047$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef64…a571backed Yes | 1c | 86,860$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…f1c7backed Yes | 0c | 84,780$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Yes | 1c | 84,407$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…3e85backed Yes | 0c | 81,000$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…5e2bbacked Yes | 1c | 80,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…4375backed Yes | 1c | 77,505$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…e951backed Yes | 0c | 75,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…ae00backed Yes | 0c | 75,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Yes | 1c | 75,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…cb10backed Yes | 1c | 73,645$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd30…29aebacked Yes | 1c | 70,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f6…ad87backed Yes | 0c | 69,225$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…6ffebacked Yes | 1c | 68,500$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe744…2931backed Yes | 0c | 68,223$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f9…49a6backed Yes | 0c | 68,110$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…7f62backed Yes | 0c | 67,809$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…fd55backed Yes | 0c | 67,769$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe244…9f50backed Yes | 1c | 62,348$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…8137backed Yes | 1c | 62,180$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?this page
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes won
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No won
- No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.