TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd817…ac33

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
229
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT8444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-12.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,105.77
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$674.12
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,603Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,603.5
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,072.42
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,246.13
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,301.09
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,718Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$1,638.47
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$756
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.45
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,078.77
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$5,514Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,514.48
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.15
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$524.95
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,015Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$975.32
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$524.65
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,331Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$851.03
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.67
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+98%+$511.15
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,265Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+87%+$1,969.76
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$924Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$924
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$363.88
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+103.9%+$1,030.17
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$817Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$816.93
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,451Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,450.8
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT4235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+114.8%+$82.11
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.53
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+194.1%+$33
Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$42.2
Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+181%+$32.21
Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.04
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$38.5
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$119.79
Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20.53
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$30.72
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+82.8%+$191.54
Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.84
Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25.82
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+58.7%+$23.31
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+94%+$123.53
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+900%+$252
Spread: Clippers (-6.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20.29
Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$31.29
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$19.25
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+27.1%+$8.99
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$39.15
Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9.32
Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+104.1%+$13.67
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$68.09
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-71.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.1
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$440
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$580
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$295
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+26.3%+$81.19
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$282.28
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$199.99
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200
49ers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100.13
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+122%+$68.91
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+57.7%+$286.36
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$166
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+50.3%+$41.39
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$102.49
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22.05
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$82.19
West Ham vs. Liverpool: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13.64
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+60.5%+$48.03
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$39.36
Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$31.25
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-11-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+112.1%+$17.23
Will Oxford United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.89
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+161.1%+$123.4
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$28.92
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid-37.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.94
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.71
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+161.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$259.99
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$174
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+845.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.2
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+1,658.9%+$233.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+144.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.9%+$1,450
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$370.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BNY (BK) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$789.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+25%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$92.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Charlotte FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Copa Colsanitas: Marie Bouzkova vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Hanne Vandewinkel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.