La Liga · resolved market
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefe3a05506e08fefb8c1998aa607fcce31e32a6852ef60bee4c71d0935c97950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,036,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,036,489 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 0c | 2,112,512$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.48 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -94.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 865,517$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.99 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes | 0c | 199,000$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…0ee7backed Yes | 0c | 133,000$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a9…7175backed Yes | 0c | 65,482$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 51,324$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.08 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9a…a047backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…ee9abacked Yes | 0c | 46,107$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7043…1425backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Yes | 0c | 18,828$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…a638backed Yes | 0c | 17,818$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…186bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,621$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…c58bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,361$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…dc8ebacked Yes | 0c | 15,550$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 0c | 14,800$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…ec61backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…cbfdbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6565…2c02backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bae…01c8backed Yes | 0c | 8,250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692d…1e9dbacked Yes | 0c | 8,240$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…9b1fbacked Yes | 0c | 7,250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9379…f3b8backed Yes | 0c | 6,700$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f97…611bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,625$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3549…7e31backed Yes | 0c | 6,375$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d05…e235backed Yes | 0c | 6,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…73babacked Yes | 0c | 6,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf199…355cbacked Yes | 0c | 6,125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…50cfbacked Yes | 0c | 6,058$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…e4a5backed Yes | 0c | 6,050$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9e…3a2ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,732$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Yes | 0c | 4,612$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 0c | 4,373$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cb…9f08backed Yes | 0c | 4,333$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 3,848$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…718abacked Yes | 0c | 3,667$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 0c | 3,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23b7…a358backed Yes | 0c | 2,882$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…473abacked Yes | 0c | 2,650$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…8fd6backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?this page
- Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes won
- Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.