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La Liga · resolved market

Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,060,742
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,375,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,060,742 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c945,614$1,829 inLost-$1,828.84273.7%1 W · 26 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-94.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c440,665$881 inLost-$881.33170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes0c199,959$600 inLost-$599.8880%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7043…1425backed Yes0c54,974$220 inLost-$219.89120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c52,550$96 inLost-$96.05326.3%2 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-84%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd469…db7cbacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf3…45a3backed Yes0c40,000$120 inLost-$12030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce0…ec61backed Yes0c12,000$36 inLost-$36140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3e…2755backed Yes0c7,000$21 inLost-$2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0848…690cbacked Yes0c6,875$28 inLost-$27.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1217…c280backed Yes0c5,750$23 inLost-$2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac8c…df16backed Yes0c5,028$20 inLost-$20.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30dd…cbfdbacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost-$10166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-91.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8497…85f3backed Yes0c3,784$15 inLost-$15.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe73f…a139backed Yes0c3,529$14 inLost-$14.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b9…f785backed Yes0c3,013$12 inLost-$12.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x308d…a6f1backed Yes0c2,790$11 inLost-$11.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ab4…1680backed Yes0c2,786$11 inLost-$11.1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5261…689cbacked Yes0c2,758$11 inLost-$11.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f96…716ebacked Yes0c2,690$11 inLost-$10.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb69f…8cd9backed Yes0c2,600$10 inLost-$10.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf89a…551cbacked Yes0c2,581$10 inLost-$10.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.