La Liga · resolved market
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a417e314c60d4221af45fad3ca308ebc060532d8f057da93743163388d20c10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,303,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,303,055 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 0c | 1,308,368$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.84 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -94.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 430,236$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.08 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…c92bbacked Yes | 0c | 375,390$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c45fbacked Yes | 0c | 65,547$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes | 0c | 64,131$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 57,937$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…5614backed Yes | 1c | 53,121$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x078d…0745backed Yes | 1c | 51,216$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…854abacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 0c | 47,584$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.46 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…11c9backed Yes | 0c | 45,644$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…1cfbbacked Yes | 0c | 45,613$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…cddfbacked Yes | 0c | 44,349$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6a…4deebacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1a…3501backed Yes | 0c | 34,999$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…47d9backed Yes | 0c | 33,451$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…95a7backed Yes | 0c | 33,359$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…4d39backed Yes | 1c | 27,450$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd000…16a4backed Yes | 0c | 25,380$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe407…f3cdbacked Yes | 0c | 23,346$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…2b84backed Yes | 2c | 23,300$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481e…d896backed Yes | 0c | 22,770$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e2…864fbacked Yes | 0c | 21,734$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd449…d734backed Yes | 2c | 21,700$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eef…86d7backed Yes | 3c | 20,660$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e0…d101backed Yes | 0c | 20,566$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f0…6e00backed Yes | 0c | 19,990$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…aec5backed Yes | 2c | 19,918$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x577f…9535backed Yes | 3c | 19,900$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…dc89backed Yes | 0c | 19,868$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff11…7dd7backed Yes | 0c | 19,460$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa32a…5191backed Yes | 0c | 18,968$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3369…d55fbacked Yes | 3c | 18,900$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…eb4cbacked Yes | 0c | 17,521$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Yes | 0c | 13,487$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…ec61backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42fa…0ccabacked Yes | 0c | 11,691$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f8…235bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,605$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…6157backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…5502backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3618…867cbacked Yes | 0c | 9,818$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf5…9a52backed Yes | 0c | 8,354$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234f…0d2bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,860$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cb…9f08backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x144c…d683backed Yes | 0c | 6,420$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…2a02backed Yes | 0c | 6,097$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7252…2866backed Yes | 0c | 5,850$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce7…e25dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,821$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 0c | 5,686$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2380…b53ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,243$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…cbfdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 3,354$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b1…1964backed Yes | 0c | 3,318$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…53e4backed Yes | 0c | 3,180$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab4…1680backed Yes | 0c | 3,104$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…3ae2backed Yes | 0c | 3,002$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf246…fa5fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…bf3cbacked Yes | 0c | 2,958$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…e79abacked Yes | 0c | 2,725$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d7…ffe5backed Yes | 0c | 2,710$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006b…9f8abacked Yes | 0c | 2,634$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…ef72backed Yes | 0c | 2,520$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…9088backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…517abacked Yes | 1c | 1,423$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?this page
- Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes won
- Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.