La Liga · resolved market
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42300049e0d90f49cb2e7504dae57a636750f668d6c2c713004b586327ce8abb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,714,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,714,873 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 0c | 2,238,845$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,493.63 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -94.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 243,083$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.17 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7043…1425backed Yes | 0c | 55,865$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.66 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1a…3501backed Yes | 0c | 54,999$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8c…8366backed Yes | 0c | 46,448$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ace…a5c6backed Yes | 0c | 35,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 29,410$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb658…2ce5backed Yes | 0c | 22,816$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes | 0c | 21,092$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 0c | 19,358$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…ae4cbacked Yes | 0c | 18,901$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd70…edffbacked Yes | 0c | 17,687$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6821…8876backed Yes | 0c | 16,925$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…b099backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…ec61backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 9,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…75edbacked Yes | 0c | 8,033$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478c…a645backed Yes | 0c | 7,881$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…eb22backed Yes | 0c | 7,594$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…0690backed Yes | 0c | 6,677$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…8934backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c29…d5b1backed Yes | 0c | 5,806$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…816fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,160$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c9…a64bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,005$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…cbfdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6f…7ffebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c1…e4d0backed Yes | 0c | 4,390$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…795bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc678…e738backed Yes | 1c | 3,650$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c3…5ee3backed Yes | 0c | 3,400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a69…d6cfbacked Yes | 0c | 3,353$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ca…3670backed Yes | 0c | 2,843$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a84…171cbacked Yes | 0c | 2,628$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…0d4cbacked Yes | 0c | 2,602$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d13…338fbacked Yes | 0c | 2,600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9b…ae45backed Yes | 0c | 2,580$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…7219backed Yes | 0c | 2,565$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?this page
- Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes won
- Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
- Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.