TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,196,701
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,225,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,196,701 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3224…47acbacked Yes0c1,011,727$1,012 inLost-$1,011.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x857f…369cbacked Yes0c1,011,727$1,012 inLost-$1,011.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b4…bd61backed Yes0c1,011,727$1,012 inLost-$1,011.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8dd…08fcbacked Yes0c1,011,516$1,012 inLost-$1,011.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c960,185$1,805 inLost-$1,804.57273.7%1 W · 26 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-94.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c366,611$733 inLost-$733.22170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes0c199,972$600 inLost-$599.9280%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes0c89,614$269 inLost-$268.841118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-76.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a9…7175backed Yes0c80,192$321 inLost-$320.7720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e7…6602backed Yes0c67,500$135 inLost-$13520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd469…db7cbacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec1a…3501backed Yes0c36,386$109 inLost-$109.16100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes0c30,000$60 inLost-$60130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c29,012$52 inLost-$51.54326.3%2 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-84%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3925…c094backed Yes0c20,000$60 inLost-$6080%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce0…ec61backed Yes0c10,000$30 inLost-$30140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9d…35f8backed Yes0c9,250$37 inLost-$3740%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes0c9,000$13 inLost-$1350%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec8…4e6fbacked Yes0c6,213$19 inLost-$18.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35cd…8957backed Yes0c5,847$18 inLost-$17.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0543…8d20backed Yes0c5,678$23 inLost-$22.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0320…dd3dbacked Yes0c5,000$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30dd…cbfdbacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost-$10166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-91.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef43…3b17backed Yes0c2,783$11 inLost-$11.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98c3…5dabbacked Yes0c2,673$11 inLost-$10.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1881…e77cbacked Yes0c2,550$10 inLost-$10.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.