TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e83…9394

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,230
Categories scored
39
Categories below 50
24

Best Category: Weather, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 56 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT35232.7%115 W · 237 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 352 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.17
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.95
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$38.5
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.74
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.45
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$64.63
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.18
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.81
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$13.27
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.76
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.54
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+66%+$7.95
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+521.7%+$124.87
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$81.18
Showing 25 of 352 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1772.3%4 W · 173 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+467.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 177 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.72
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.56
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.22
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Showing 25 of 177 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1018.9%9 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick8cpaid+115.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$5.35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+400%+$79.2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+151.3%+$15.13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.62
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$13.85
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.45
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.5
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$229
Will Thierry Mariani win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.79
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 0–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$117.9
Will Robert Negoiță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$19.11
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.32
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$46.31
Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.09
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT7618.4%14 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-59.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.99
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$22.25
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$29.99
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.28
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
US forces enter Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+274.6%+$137.08
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25.2%+$10.06
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$42
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$97.32
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$135
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$165
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT7510.7%8 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-82.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$14.1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.47
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.97
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22
GPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Grok be the next CEO of X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Meek Mill releases AI app in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.48
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56.4
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13.02
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$123.69
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6222.6%14 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$69.1
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.52
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+50%+$55.34
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.96
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.48
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.35
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.3
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.79
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will "Good Luck, Have Fun, Don't Die" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$48.5
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.19
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$36.5
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 1.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21.35
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 11m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+257.1%+$28.8
Will Hugh Jackman win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Dwayne Johnson be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+1,149.3%+$285.19
Will Avatar 3 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$44.41
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$130.39
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+54%+$14.03
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27.89
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT368.3%3 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-48.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.74
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,441.4%+$304.83
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.8
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.77
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.02
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.44
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.34
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.13
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.64
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.15
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.03
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.12
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$34.5
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$37.62
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?backed Ukraine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.3
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+148.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+8,212%+$3,312.63
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$29.8
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+295.3%+$37.35
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17.67
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$38.8
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$43.65
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23.82
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$29.37
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$76.69
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$22.71
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$37.02
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$49.92
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$206.52
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$45.3
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$83.3
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$45.3
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$65.16
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$43.41
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$34.09
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$96.1
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT333%1 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-94.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.3
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.12
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.56
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.48
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.42
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Burnley win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.71
Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$35.23
Will Oliver Glasner be the first EPL manager fired?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will David Moyes be the first EPL manager fired?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Regis Le Bri be the first EPL manager fired?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Keith Andrews be the first EPL manager fired?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Scott Parker be the first EPL manager fired?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Andoni Iraola be the first EPL manager fired?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Enzo Maresca be the first EPL manager fired?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Fabian Hurzeler be the first EPL manager fired?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT329.4%3 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-73.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.64
Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$21.5
Will Ariana Grande be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$16.62
Will Billie Eilish be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$60.66
Will Justin Bieber be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$92.54
Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will Ed Sheeran be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17.06
Will Eminem be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$19.75
Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$60.73
Will 'The Fate of Ophelia' be the most streamed song on 'The Life of a Showgirl' on Oct 10th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$79
Will Swag II first-week album sales be under 75000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+49.9%+$49.59
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$194.86
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.07
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+412.6%+$196.26
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$175.73
Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.78
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.08
Will France win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.07
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$263.93
Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$379.57
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.18
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.71
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.31
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3013.3%4 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid-63.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.77
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.62
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Solana dip to $50 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.44
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.79
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+488.2%+$91.27
Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$38.25
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.5
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.2%+$25.5
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2931%9 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+482.2%+$281.59
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.8
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+47.1%+$16
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$33.55
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.02
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$38.28
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+30.7%+$14.1
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.26
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.94
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.8
Will Elon register the America Party before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+114.1%+$37.3
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+42.4%+$70.89
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Elon register the America Party in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.04
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.7
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT273.7%1 W · 26 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-94.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.18
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.69
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.59
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.63
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6.6
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.25
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.35
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$93
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.08
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.44
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2213.6%3 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.71
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.74
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$175.64
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.55
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$44.99
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.4%+$58.19
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$37.47
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$60
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$29
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.18
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.12
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.6
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT210%0 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.34
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.1
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.7
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.84
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.39
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.3
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.93
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.05
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.36
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.52
Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.72
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Phillies vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.8
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-78.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.11
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.45
Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Basel win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Sturm Graz win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Nice win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Feyenoord win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.43
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+38.2%+$4.15
Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$13.75
All 17 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-73%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25.6%+$22.4
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+152.1%+$90.5
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.01
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Hyperliquid flips Bybit in SOL Open Interest in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.64
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick8cpaid-57.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$16.72
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.66
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+291.3%+$61.42
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.77
Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick3cpaid-78.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rennes win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Will Strasbourg win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Brest win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.35
Will Lorient win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will Toulouse win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will Angers win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Will Le Havre win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.37
Will Paris FC win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
Will Auxerre win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.93
Will Metz win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.92
Will Nantes win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+159.7%+$122.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 29, 2025, EDT70%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dern vs. Jandirobabacked Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Will Trump attend UFC 319?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Spirit win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+65%+$10.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tennessee win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.