Ukraine · resolved market
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e98b1cce4001e971c9b0500408e89e06dd75a1bf2c60e763d0e5f8464a9f6a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $536,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $494,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $536,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 0c | 40,803$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.57 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 12c | 32,452$3,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.73 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed No | 77c | 26,049$20,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,969.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a8…8f5ebacked Yes | 16c | 23,644$3,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,734.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…93dcbacked Yes | 12c | 18,972$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.73 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 18,805$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.94 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 1c | 12,861$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…d092backed Yes | 6c | 10,951$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe97c…2a99backed Yes | 9c | 8,709$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f2c0backed Yes | 22c | 8,476$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 38c | 8,361$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136.71 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…7c68backed Yes | 20c | 7,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef9…2d16backed Yes | 2c | 6,265$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…24eabacked Yes | 7c | 6,225$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3f…c282backed No | 77c | 6,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked Yes | 29c | 5,881$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.1 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -8.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x97ac…3e1ebacked Yes | 16c | 5,463$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 3c | 5,211$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.92 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…cbbbbacked Yes | 20c | 4,114$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 19c | 3,735$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.62 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 3,665$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.23 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf0…637cbacked Yes | 19c | 3,475$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 13c | 3,289$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.17 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…8143backed Yes | 8c | 3,196$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.47 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…70efbacked Yes | 48c | 3,039$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.57 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 58c | 2,870$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.4 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,751$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.36 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed Yes | 13c | 2,675$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…b6e3backed No | 80c | 2,513$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…385dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed No | 79c | 2,421$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9596…f5bfbacked Yes | 5c | 2,394$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,353$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,348$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.39 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed Yes | 11c | 2,224$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1141…55b1backed No | 52c | 2,039$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.57 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 10c | 1,979$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.71 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,927$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d4…7a70backed Yes | 21c | 1,892$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad9…add6backed Yes | 29c | 1,774$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x003f…f799backed Yes | 10c | 1,750$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 19c | 1,732$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Yes | 2c | 1,600$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 68c | 1,490$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.61 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 19c | 1,457$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.64 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88fe…f516backed No | 70c | 1,426$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked Yes | 14c | 1,419$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 2c | 1,353$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…93aabacked No | 74c | 1,082$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 10c | 1,066$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 2c | 1,045$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 1,011$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.35 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…8cfdbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd0…0f6abacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936d…6320backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6874…5a96backed Yes | 13c | 975$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…64fabacked No | 79c | 970.34$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde0…267dbacked No | 77c | 872.11$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.65 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 37c | 871.66$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.15 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 22c | 848.75$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.49 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 4c | 839.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 66c | 819$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.76 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 5c | 734.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2979…5137backed Yes | 21c | 725.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 2c | 706$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +85%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked Yes | 21c | 685$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 2c | 678.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 13c | 645$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ba…ad90backed Yes | 9c | 641.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x062b…9a6bbacked Yes | 2c | 620.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0403…a7eebacked No | 65c | 580.02$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 5c | 518.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ce…1825backed No | 77c | 507.27$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcc…8882backed Yes | 33c | 506.16$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…7db5backed Yes | 20c | 500.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d7…d604backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ba…408fbacked No | 78c | 500$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…0978backed No | 71c | 496.61$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 11c | 489.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 456$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.42 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e2…2077backed Yes | 9c | 448.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f85…5cf7backed No | 73c | 444.9$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.24 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…cb93backed No | 74c | 439.42$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.25 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5b…26fabacked No | 70c | 429.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…cd8fbacked No | 74c | 419.79$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda9…3023backed Yes | 34c | 411.74$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…a5e3backed Yes | 7c | 406.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 24c | 390.18$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d5…3ba6backed Yes | 22c | 381.11$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.91 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd3…985bbacked Yes | 30c | 377.53$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbf…7105backed Yes | 5c | 377.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…44a2backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 8c | 357.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x813a…acb1backed Yes | 14c | 353.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…fa0fbacked No | 59c | 350.63$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 5c | 340$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.