TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe827…5209

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
576
Categories scored
39
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: NBA, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 63 out of 100; worst IPO at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT11440.4%46 W · 68 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.5
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$923Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$923.19
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$873Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$626.96
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$615.66
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.03
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.68
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+55%+$1,186.11
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.93
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$464.99
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$532.48
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,074Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,073.75
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,067Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$1,731.3
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.8
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$569.74
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$112.48
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$927Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$721.8
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.9
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,272Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+36%+$1,538.8
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$1,210
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$627.87
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT8636%31 W · 55 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.82
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.82
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$81.92
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,260.69
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.3
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.08
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,330.21
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.38
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.3
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$55.27
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$31.5
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.85
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.17
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.06
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,217.19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$1,203.27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10,812Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+157.9%+$17,078.11
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.24
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+429.2%+$1,232.79
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$228.06
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.8
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT4226.2%11 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-45.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.93
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$278.16
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$917Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$916.67
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.73
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$138
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$756.43
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,321Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,321.13
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$736Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$736.34
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.34
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,910Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,909.88
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.09
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$215
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$189.91
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$82
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+37.8%+$91.71
Will Trump disparage Zohran Mamdani on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$236
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$67.35
Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.77
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$295.02
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+69.5%+$78.72
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+90.1%+$80.58
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3568.6%24 W · 11 L+6.9wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+35.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,501Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+179.9%+$2,699.3
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$63.26
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$8,864Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,863.65
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,093Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+201.9%+$2,206.97
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$906Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+197.5%+$1,789.03
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$160
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+58.7%+$74
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+92.3%+$96
Kings vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Nets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+53.8%+$35
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Grizzlies vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+156.4%+$61
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+127.3%+$84
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+117.4%+$108
Hawks vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$24
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+53.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$5,220
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,040
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$4,200
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.75
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$186.58
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,432Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$4,997.68
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.91
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.25
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+142%+$370.79
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$322.56
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.98
Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.98
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+87.3%+$233
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+56.6%+$74.82
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$114
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$192
Will Tottenham vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$12.71
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$87.5
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 24 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,425
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,355.51
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$162
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.39
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.2
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Marco Tulio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.96
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed William Gomis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,199.07
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+52.1%+$84.9
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$81
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$57
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$35
UFC 322: Vieira vs. Nickal (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Vieira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$93
UFC 322: Meerschaert vs. Daukaus (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Meerschaert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Salikhov vs. Medicbacked Salikhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$150.5
Bonfim vs. Padillabacked Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$76.5
Vieira vs. Dumontbacked Dumont · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$102.5
Dern vs. Jandirobabacked Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$88
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.5
Figueiredo vs. Jacksonbacked Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$148
Luque vs. Álvarezbacked Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Almeida vs. Aswell Jr.backed Aswell Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$62
All 23 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.67
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$28.9
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,392Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,208
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90.36
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,687Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,686.53
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$841Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+165.5%+$1,392.17
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$239.22
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$81.41
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,795Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+161.9%+$2,906.02
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,374Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$1,152.42
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$225
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+289.4%+$360.18
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$676.18
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$659
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+244.8%+$46.67
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$352.41
Will Catherine Connolly win by 20% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.76
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+73.3%+$84.6
All 20 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST2040%8 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State vs. Fresno Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+122.2%+$110
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Arkansas vs. LSUbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$38.86
Minnesota vs. Oregon: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+127.3%+$112
Toledo vs. Miami (OH)backed Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$52.8
Spread: Northern Illinois (-10.5)backed Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Northern Illinois vs. UMassbacked UMass · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$26.4
O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akronbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$71
Ohio vs. Western Michiganbacked Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. UCLAbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Wake Forest vs. Virginiabacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+233.3%+$49
Air Force vs. San Jose Statebacked San Jose State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$134
Texas State vs. Louisianabacked Louisiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+163.2%+$217
UAB Blazers vs. Ricebacked UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$83.4
James Madison vs. Marshallbacked Marshall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$54.63
Northwestern vs. USCbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Houston vs. UCFbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+96.1%+$73.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Bruinsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$31.04
Maple Leafs vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+284.6%+$222
Senators vs. Bluesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$166.91
Islanders vs. Utahbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+185.7%+$130
Canucks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+40.8%+$46.4
Canucks vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+31.6%+$48
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$228.8
Sabres vs. Utahbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Blue Jackets vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$72.8
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+88.7%+$94
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Sharks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$128
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Kings vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Rangers vs. Red Wingsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+112.8%+$42.4
Islanders vs. Penguinsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Blackhawks vs. Panthersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.35
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.09
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$946Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+368%+$3,481.93
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,395.68
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.26
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$34.32
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$320.59
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.39
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.74
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.37
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,710Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$2,889.75
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$46.93
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$123
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$60.77
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+53.1%+$104
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$96
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$50.82
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$40.6
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+44.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$149.99
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$86
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$86
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$118
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$132
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Rams vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$73.6
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$96
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$72
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+334.8%+$154
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$96.9
Browns vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+112.8%+$106
Saints vs. Panthersbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+203%+$134
Browns vs. Jets: O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+100%+$75
All 16 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$728
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$559.2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$968Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$967.59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,535.69
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$557.2
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$943Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$943.46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+579.5%+$1,670.41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$219
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$58.38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$347.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+107.4%+$1,201.01
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$590.46
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.78
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+417.2%+$48.75
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$58.84
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$54.28
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$172.2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.03
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.26
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$278.4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.99
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.37
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,022.08
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+58.7%+$82.48
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$918Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+107%+$982
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,332Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+125.1%+$1,666.76
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+300%+$900
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$189.28
Ukraine strike in Russia on 28 November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 6–10 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$200.36
Will Donald Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13.85
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$120.68
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$388.13
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$347
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$146
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$674.99
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.93
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.45
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+60.1%+$214
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+127.3%+$112
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+104.1%+$102
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.47
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$158
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid-29.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,004.35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,046.61
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+190.2%+$1,703.78
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$693.6
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+92.5%+$925.2
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+125.8%+$390
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$239.4
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$212.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+43.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
No airdrop in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+70.9%+$124.5
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+813.5%+$1,692
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30.32
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+104.7%+$179
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$468.98
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$245
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.35
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-76.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
IPO — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$924Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$923.97
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.38
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.58
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$656.75
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.59
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$501.72
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$463.11
All 8 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-60.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+205.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+376.2%+$79
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$52
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$39.9
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+156.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$151.04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+274.5%+$366.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,715Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,714.54
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Jack Pinnington Jones vs J.J. Wolfbacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$73.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$70.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rider Broncs vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+112.8%+$132.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$280.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.