TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Wild

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sharksof Sharks, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$684,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$692,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $684,019 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Sharks37c294,990$108,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186,943.749340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Wild64c95,202$60,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,619.0514057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Sharks28c70,000$19,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,05042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Wild63c61,218$38,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,680.6139047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Wild64c60,000$38,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,10030944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks35c42,020$14,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,116.861,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Wild63c36,508$23,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,176.3788151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Sharks21c30,865$6,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,508.3626344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Sharks35c30,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,499.8125449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Wild79c29,942$23,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,654.3914538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Wild64c23,000$14,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,6706055%33 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Sharks36c21,979$7,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,066.653053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Wild63c20,000$12,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,60010451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Wild65c14,154$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,200.15848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Wild63c12,239$7,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,710.421850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Wild64c11,176$7,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,152.6416656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Sharks35c11,143$3,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,298.391,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Wild65c10,775$6,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,9888453.6%45 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Wild65c10,555$6,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,860.048952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Wild65c10,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5008657%49 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Sharks35c10,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,499.9519451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Wild64c8,995$5,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,756.7870547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked Wild65c8,797$5,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7573636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wild64c8,101$5,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,184.9447951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Wild65c7,681$4,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,991.4413551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Wild63c7,500$4,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7256737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Wild79c7,133$5,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,635.071090%9 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick69cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Sharks37c7,000$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,41075251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Wild65c6,483$4,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,194.157453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Wild64c5,102$3,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,266.53554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Wild64c5,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20030447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Wild65c4,994$3,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2465259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Sharks40c4,977$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,010.0710352.4%54 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wild64c4,743$3,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,035.112,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wild63c4,541$2,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,854.551,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Wild55c4,272$2,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.0387447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Sharks36c4,167$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.6729651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e39…3122backed Sharks36c4,149$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,655.292650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Sharks36c4,081$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610.6441850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wild25c4,001$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.322,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Wild64c4,000$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,56051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Wild64c3,855$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,456.94546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sharks20c3,047$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,437.661848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Wild65c3,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95011946.2%55 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b1…2c46backed Wild64c3,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.991942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Wild65c2,850$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.57546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Wild64c2,840$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.6669550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Wild64c2,310$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.2197651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Wild60c2,258$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.427143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Wild64c2,255$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.22227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-43.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Wild63c2,248$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.192848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Sharks36c2,185$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.1189249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Wild64c2,056$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.241,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Wild65c2,013$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.9430848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Wild80c2,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6002839.3%11 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-30.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Wild64c1,956$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.8463249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wild64c1,882$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.091,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Sharks35c1,788$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.11922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55b8…1876backed Wild65c1,700$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b67…a36ebacked Sharks36c1,700$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Wild64c1,697$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.8254047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x618d…aadcbacked Sharks37c1,600$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.712454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb52d…95ffbacked Wild64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Wild63c1,508$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.291,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Wild64c1,500$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3909…335fbacked Sharks36c1,400$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8962962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Wild64c1,250$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8009250%46 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ff…6e26backed Wild64c1,200$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf706…e173backed Sharks36c1,200$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Wild65c1,198$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.521,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Wild64c1,178$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.0491653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wild62c1,170$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.282043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Sharks35c1,150$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.520144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd1b…af12backed Wild66c1,143$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.381163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd1f…5ea1backed Sharks35c1,143$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.86633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Wild79c1,112$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.4833848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b2…80d5backed Wild64c1,100$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Wild64c1,077$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.2315949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Wild65c1,058$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc30b…1b6dbacked Wild66c1,048$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.66640.9%27 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Wild63c1,020$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.452050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9644…d03bbacked Wild63c1,015$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.441060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked Wild65c1,005$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6584055%22 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Wild1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Sharks36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6405856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e08…9726backed Wild65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Wild64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Wild64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6408645.3%39 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c0backed Wild65c999.99$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.995240.4%21 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Wild64c998.92$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.3110448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe931…138bbacked Wild58c992.02$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00e2…72a3backed Sharks35c957.14$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.144553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Sharks46c861.64$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.449550.5%48 W · 47 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1334…3c35backed Wild65c854.13$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5585054%27 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x809d…4f4fbacked Sharks36c800$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+60.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Wild63c752$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.7648452.3%253 W · 231 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Wild63c731.95$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.4483652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Sharks35c700$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45551044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Wild63c600$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37848549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Wild65c553.85$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36024952.2%130 W · 119 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.