TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e39…3122

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: College Football, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST2650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,705Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$5,704.58
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,816Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+170.3%+$3,092.02
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Ducks vs. Red Wingsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Devils vs. Blackhawksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$409.09
Sabres vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,758Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+48.8%+$858.52
Sharks vs. Wildbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,494Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+177.8%+$2,655.29
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35,779Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$35,778.72
Avalanche vs. Canucksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+51.5%+$772.73
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10,000
Utah vs. Senatorsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,700
Kings vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Blue Jackets vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$1,104.9
Panthers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+222.6%+$222.58
Utah vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+108.3%+$780
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+82.6%+$166.77
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Wild vs. Islandersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+125.6%+$1,381.05
Senators vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15,974Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+127.4%+$20,343.75
Blue Jackets vs. Flamesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$8,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$8,046.78
Lightning vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$421.16
Devils vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Canucks vs. Wildbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Predators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,355Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+71.4%+$1,680.63
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+59.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$1,150
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$210
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Mavericks vs. Wizardsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+68.7%+$127.09
Kings vs. Bucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$270.37
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.5
Nets vs. Rocketsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Raptors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+91.9%+$32.17
Nets vs. Spursbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Hawksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,573Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,573.12
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+37%+$36.99
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+47.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Browns vs. Jetsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Saints vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$3,800.47
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+198%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston vs. UCFbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+300%+$300
Army vs. Air Forcebacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$960.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chennai Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Donna Vekicbacked Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+67.3%+$674.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.