NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Utah
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a76d9fb5e9c79eb2fc8a518be0d7f27a992d0c0d10f582c6825189e83e4014c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $454,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $469,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $454,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb18c…0d06backed Utah | 51c | 57,229$28,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,921.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Utah | 52c | 50,233$26,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,261.51 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x145c…43bcbacked Lightning | 50c | 46,182$23,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,150.76 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Lightning | 50c | 40,000$20,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,899.96 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lightning | 48c | 31,002$14,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,228.23 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Utah | 33c | 30,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 70c | 24,968$17,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,535.48 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Utah | 41c | 24,352$9,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,975.74 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Utah | 50c | 20,600$10,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,300 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…71c5backed Utah | 50c | 20,200$10,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…8e16backed Lightning | 50c | 20,200$10,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Lightning | 68c | 15,200$10,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,868.97 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Lightning | 50c | 14,383$7,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,221.6 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Lightning | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Utah | 49c | 9,850$4,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,869.38 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Lightning | 50c | 8,995$4,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,497.5 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Lightning | 48c | 8,030$3,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,152.01 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Lightning | 52c | 7,767$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,766.88 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Lightning | 50c | 6,107$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,062.87 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Utah | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Lightning | 47c | 5,823$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.12 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Lightning | 49c | 5,369$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.93 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…b0dcbacked Lightning | 46c | 5,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Utah | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1822…804cbacked Lightning | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Lightning | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.98 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5c…39b7backed Utah | 48c | 5,000$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Lightning | 52c | 4,085$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.02 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Lightning | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Lightning | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…e4c8backed Utah | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Utah | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Utah | 48c | 3,885$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.85 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Utah | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lightning | 48c | 3,761$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.16 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…907cbacked Utah | 47c | 3,665$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Utah | 51c | 3,049$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.86 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Utah | 50c | 3,030$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa562…28bdbacked Lightning | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…b9d2backed Lightning | 51c | 2,800$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d30…3391backed Utah | 49c | 2,800$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x233d…0d05backed Lightning | 52c | 2,800$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Utah | 55c | 2,743$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lightning | 62c | 2,651$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.62 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Utah | 50c | 2,606$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.9 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Utah | 30c | 2,450$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.59 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Lightning | 49c | 2,443$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.63 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Utah | 50c | 2,257$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.68 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…082abacked Lightning | 69c | 2,170$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.54 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fd…dbc5backed Lightning | 51c | 2,122$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.72 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 50c | 2,048$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.19 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Utah | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Utah | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Lightning | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Utah | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Lightning | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…078abacked Lightning | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…08d7backed Utah | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a2…dd15backed Utah | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a9…98ccbacked Utah | 50c | 1,932$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1140…bcb2backed Utah | 50c | 1,932$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a72…88dabacked Utah | 50c | 1,932$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…d71dbacked Lightning | 51c | 1,894$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10c…6146backed Lightning | 51c | 1,894$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…b3a2backed Lightning | 51c | 1,894$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lightning | 37c | 1,867$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Utah | 49c | 1,606$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.92 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8019…df3abacked Utah | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Lightning | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…54d9backed Lightning | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Lightning | 48c | 1,382$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.46 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Utah | 50c | 1,314$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.77 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Lightning | 48c | 1,260$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.2 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Lightning | 49c | 1,251$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.01 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Lightning | 65c | 1,185$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.24 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Lightning | 36c | 1,121$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.79 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Utah | 2c | 1,100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Utah | 26c | 1,079$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.55 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Lightning | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Utah | 13c | 1,003$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.63 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c5…f5d8backed Lightning | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Lightning | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…88f2backed Lightning | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Lightning | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e4…8153backed Utah | 49c | 999.92$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Lightning | 49c | 963$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.13 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Utah | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f89…19dfbacked Utah | 50c | 880.08$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.04 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…59c1backed Lightning | 49c | 833.33$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…e915backed Utah | 50c | 833$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e39…3122backed Utah | 51c | 825.8$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.16 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Utah | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x216a…9380backed Lightning | 69c | 726.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6377…a709backed Utah | 50c | 656.9$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd642…c499backed Utah | 49c | 649.97$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Utah | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Utah | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Utah | 49c | 597.91$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.02 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…4130backed Utah | 50c | 584.89$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.45 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…152cbacked Lightning | 51c | 581$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Utahthis page
- Lightning vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.