TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee7e…61bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
482
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT41248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 412 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.28
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.98
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.43
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$333
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,081.52
Golden Knights vs. Penguinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,450.1
Canucks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+67.1%+$397.8
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$687.76
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$249
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.4%+$351.82
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$250
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$335
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$400.43
Kraken vs. Bluesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$375
Blue Jackets vs. Bruinsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$364.62
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+85.2%+$341.01
Sabres vs. Devilsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,075Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+97.4%+$1,047.46
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,091.41
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,062Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,020.78
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,417.76
Showing 25 of 412 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$144.58
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$486.47
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+91.7%+$1,037.64
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$347.32
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$36.82
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$101.85
Spread: Texans (-1.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+75.6%+$181.43
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$260
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$165.96
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$271.58
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$250.17
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$180.68
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+96.1%+$288.24
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$360
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+98.2%+$540.2
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Spread: Lions (-7.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$294
Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+104.1%+$216.57
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+69.5%+$180.68
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$457
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$76.94
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.25
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$235
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+93.1%+$137.24
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+180.3%+$811.43
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$394.56
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$273.15
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$464.38
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.7
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$992.15
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-58.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+100%+$273.61
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-52.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+173.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.