NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38437a9df152e6823c08f5a98813ef55bb7ecc510193896626cfa09daac2f6f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Kings | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Lakers | 50c | 49,339$24,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,668.46 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Kings | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,799.99 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Lakers | 50c | 31,281$15,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,538.45 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 51c | 29,148$14,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,322.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Kings | 51c | 25,109$12,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,690.75 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Kings | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Kings | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Kings | 46c | 13,999$6,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,439.45 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Kings | 50c | 12,984$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers | 49c | 12,500$6,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,375 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365b…5575backed Lakers | 51c | 12,322$6,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,035.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Kings | 49c | 9,641$4,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,724.2 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…c022backed Lakers | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09a…a371backed Lakers | 53c | 9,261$4,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,314.59 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Lakers | 50c | 8,732$4,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,365.81 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0175…24f8backed Lakers | 54c | 8,148$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,748.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Kings | 50c | 8,110$4,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,055 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lakers | 52c | 8,024$4,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,853.39 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lakers | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafa5…a7a3backed Lakers | 53c | 7,391$3,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,473.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Kings | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 50c | 5,733$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.5 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Lakers | 51c | 5,725$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.49 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Kings | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Lakers | 50c | 4,836$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.24 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…e039backed Lakers | 53c | 4,585$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers | 47c | 3,723$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.48 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Lakers | 53c | 3,269$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.08 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Kings | 48c | 2,627$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…55b3backed Lakers | 50c | 2,379$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kings | 53c | 2,346$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.4 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 53c | 2,302$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.11 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…85e7backed Lakers | 49c | 2,094$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.56 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Lakers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Lakers | 52c | 1,402$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.27 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Lakers | 50c | 1,396$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.94 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Lakers | 52c | 1,378$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.55 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2faf…92dcbacked Lakers | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…f73bbacked Kings | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 46c | 1,084$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Kings | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.5 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Lakers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Lakers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Lakers | 50c | 870.07$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.03 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Kings | 49c | 820$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.8 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Lakers | 50c | 684$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.87 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed Kings | 52c | 619.66$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers | 50c | 603.21$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.57 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Kings | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Lakers | 52c | 577.97$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.43 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Lakers | 52c | 576.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.6 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Kings | 46c | 558.41$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.87 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Lakers | 53c | 513.72$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.45 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Kings | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Kings | 46c | 454.53$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.54 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 50c | 405$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…c5eebacked Kings | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Kings | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 51c | 387.01$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…c803backed Lakers | 53c | 373.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.86 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Kings | 53c | 339.62$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Lakers | 50c | 312.1$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.64 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Kings | 49c | 308.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Kings | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Kings | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Kings | 38c | 299.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Kings | 50c | 299.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.67 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Kings | 49c | 238.78$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Kings | 49c | 234.69$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Lakers | 49c | 232.59$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Kings | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Kings | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…8defbacked Kings | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.6wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Kings | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Kings | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Kings | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Kings | 52c | 190.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Kings | 50c | 188$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb955…b181backed Kings | 48c | 172.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Lakers | 53c | 168.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 51c | 165.4$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.38 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9d…ccf5backed Kings | 45c | 153.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Kings | 52c | 149$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.48 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Kings | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Lakers | 51c | 118.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…1b84backed Kings | 49c | 116.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…1ca3backed Kings | 48c | 110.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Kings | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Kings | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…7b6dbacked Kings | 50c | 101.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Kings | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Kings | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Lakers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…add9backed Kings | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…272cbacked Kings | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…3b9cbacked Kings | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Kings | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 135 | 36.3%49 W · 86 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc7…9335backed Kings | 48c | 99.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Lakers won
- Kings vs. LakersLakers won
- Kings vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Kings vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-11.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-13.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.