NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb497a3251430f8ee71b4af65a244b2a3329e968da6c082edaaa8a55fc8e9cca9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 3,989$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 44c | 2,045$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.51 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 53c | 1,112$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 57c | 897.66$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.61 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Under | 55c | 860.99$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.45 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +73%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 748.19$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.09 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 46c | 399.73$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.72 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 45c | 331.98$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.39 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b9…a373backed Over | 46c | 308.7$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 32c | 280$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 250$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 200.41$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.2 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 49c | 186$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 33c | 176.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under | 68c | 165.9$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Over | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 50c | 89.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 39c | 65.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0848…8059backed Over | 50c | 56.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…b651backed Over | 56c | 53.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 42c | 50.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f71…b80ebacked Under | 74c | 44.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 43c | 33.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e16…39cdbacked Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked Under | 53c | 25.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…67fdbacked Under | 53c | 25.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 54c | 19.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…3992backed Under | 62c | 16.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Lakers won
- Kings vs. LakersLakers won
- Kings vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Kings vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-11.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-12.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-13.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.