TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf292…b60c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
132
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST3360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+39.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+117.4%+$13.5
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$17.17
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+89.3%+$12.24
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+108.3%+$14.5
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+131.4%+$16.34
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+117.4%+$17.57
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+46.9%+$9.41
Spread: Bulls (-1.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+47.1%+$7.86
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+74.8%+$9.23
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$46.72
Magic vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+64%+$9.22
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25.92
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14.82
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17.16
Kings vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+47.7%+$6.6
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$22.69
76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12.06
Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+461.9%+$91.28
Spread: Pacers (-8.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12.12
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$47.73
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$36.35
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$97.19
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+59.6%+$23.77
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+150%+$34.98
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST2166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Leicester City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.9%+$8.39
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+139.7%+$36.23
Will Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+27.7%+$3.09
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$10.74
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+52.6%+$13.19
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3.6
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.28
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+30.7%+$3.5
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$18.48
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+34%+$8.83
Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+62.9%+$17.69
Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$28.75
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+212.5%+$23.89
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14.92
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15.82
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$13.19
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15.82
Leicester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+127.3%+$40.27
Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+108.3%+$15.88
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30.51
Will Burgos CF win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+300%+$43.14
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$33.8
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$23.35
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+44.9%+$9.03
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.22
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$124.97
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$29.06
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$23.86
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+127.3%+$13.12
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+138.1%+$22.29
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed CA Osasuna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+71.7%+$27.3
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15.82
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bradley Braves vs. Belmont Bruinsbacked Bradley Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.82
Portland State Vikings vs. Weber State Wildcatsbacked Portland State Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+55.9%+$8.5
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.88
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.88
Temple Owls vs. Charlotte 49ersbacked Charlotte 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Belmont Bruins vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked Belmont Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$12.98
Troy Trojans vs. UAB Blazersbacked UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$117.85
Green Bay Phoenix vs. IU Indy Jaguarsbacked Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+153.5%+$28.27
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+76.3%+$7.83
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton Tigersbacked Merrimack College Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+35.4%+$7.77
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Blackhawksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.09
Red Wings vs. Penguinsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.15
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+145.8%+$34.14
Lightning vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.98
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.92
Oilers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+113.3%+$18.88
Sabres vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.18
Ducks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+88.7%+$15.45
Canadiens vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$17.42
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$18.81
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+127.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+185.7%+$61.51
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.31
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+801.7%+$997.03
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+82.3%+$18.56
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$14.03
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+127.3%+$40.27
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+31.6%+$5
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)backed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+31.6%+$10.35
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15.82
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-55.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-66.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$23.49
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+29.8%+$3.46
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+157.8%+$30.97
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+78.6%+$9.31
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$22.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.87
Will Auckland FC win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahce vs. Panathinaikosbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.